Here
are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the
beginning week. Last week’s ‘Weekly Support’ is here.
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LAST WEEK
Dead Market Ramping - Stocks Hit Record Highs As
Activity Hits Record Low
S&P 500 Snapshot
–
dshort
Another
Record Close
NEXT WEEK
US Schedule for
Week
– Bill
McBride
Energy
stocks look for catalyst out of doldrums
Weighing the Week Ahead: Trump
v. Yellen, round one – Jeff Miller
A
week featuring the Fed Chair’s semi-annual Congressional testimony, and daily
speeches by most of her Fed colleagues, would normally represent a commanding
first choice for the upcoming theme. This time is different. (Yes, I know that
you are never supposed to say that). The first weeks of the Trump
Administration have generated daily news on a wide range of topics, each of
which draws attention. The
combination of the two will provide an irresistible topic for the punditry. It
will be: Trump
v. Yellen, round one.
Next
week’s highlights include Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony before Congress and the
Riksbank’s policy announcement. We expect the bank to adopt a wait-and-see
stance, leaving its monetary policy unchanged.
US:
data, Trump, Yellen’s testimony Europe: French politics, UK jobs and inflation
data, German GDP * Nordics: Sweden’s central bank meeting
Moderate
China slowdown to weigh on the global cycle * Our models support the view that
the
growth acceleration period will be over soon * Headline inflation is also close
to a peak as base effects from oil reverse after January * The above factors
will give support for bonds short term, but we look for another leg higher in
yields later this year * Policy uncertainty to weigh on
euro
assets in coming months
Demography
Is Destiny for Debt
US
travel ban measures considered unconstitutional. Presidency looking very
chaotic * Chinese January trade data are very strong, but may overstate
underlying strength * German orders and production data are sending conflicting
messages, orders most likely right
Speculative
Positioning – Marc Chandler
Speculators
in Futures are Net Long All the Dollar Bloc Currencies--First Time in Five
Months
The
Dollar's Underlying Trend Resumes
Macro
Comment – Marc Chandler
Yellen’s
Path Cleared by Trump’s Moderation