Here
are the links to the weekly roundups, reviews and also previews of the
beginning week.
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LAST WEEK
Record
High Stocks, Record Low VIX But Bitcoin, Bonds, & Bullion Bid
Investors
Inject Net New Money Into Funds Ahead of the Q3 Earnings Season
NEXT WEEK
The IMF is upbeat on the growth outlook
yet argues that the recovery is incomplete. It also expresses concern about
yield chasing behaviour of investors. Multiple objectives imply one cannot
solely rely on monetary policy
The
Party Congress in China starting on Wednesday might not immediately move
markets, but the country itself. In the Nordics, the regional network survey in
Norway and Swedish labour market numbers stand out.
Tue:
EZ September inflation, US September industrial production, UK treasury
committee testimony Wed: China’s party congress
Global central bankers are busy on the
news wires but new research indicates that the accuracy of forecasting
financial and macroeconomic variables has not improved * Market to focus on
what ‘QE path’ the ECB will choose on 26 October, when it is due to reveal the
bulk of its decisions regarding the future of the QE programme * It seems that
two ‘paths’ are on the table. Either an extension for six months with EUR 40bn
a month in purchases or purchases for nine/12 months but only EUR 20-30bn a
month * We believe for now in the first ‘path’ but acknowledge that the purchase
constraints that make it more and more difficult for the ECB to buy according
to the ‘Capital Key’ makes a ‘longer, but smaller’ monthly amount ‘path’ more
likely.
Asia: Will president XI use greater powers
for greater good * Canada: A potentially big week for rates and currency * US:
Anticlimatic * LatAm: Political risk hangs over central banks EZ: Supercore for
Super Mario
Special
Events Supply an Upside Surprise
Eurozone
output data and Asian trade data confirm stronger momentum * US headline
inflation up, again, but not core inflation * Central bankers in the spotlight
Weekly Market Outlook
–
Marc
Chandler
Will
the Bullish Outlook for Treasuries Weigh on the Dollar?