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Tuesday, October 9

8th Oct - European carnage


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EUROPE
Germany: Glimmers of hope in disappointing dataING
German industrial production dropped for the third month in a row. Under the surface of disappointing headline figures, there are some glimmers of hope

EU Ready to Offer U.K. ‘Super-Charged’ Free-Trade DealBB
Proposal will incorporate 30%-40% of U.K. plan, officials say * Deal on divorce closer but Irish border still not resolved

Macron’s Latest Political Blow May Hasten Presidency ‘Phase Two’ BB
Cabinet reshuffle is coming after minister’s shock resignation * French president’s style in question as his ratings slump

Editorial: Mending Europe’s Patchwork Migration PolicyBB
The current approach is a failure. It doesn’t have to stay that way.

Greek Banks Tumble as Italy Contagion Adds to Capital WorryBB
Eurobank Ergasias drops up to 14.4 percent in Athens trading * Bad-loan plan could fall afoul of European rules, Fitch says

Macron Wants to Make Privatization Great AgainBB
An unpopular president is pushing an unpopular policy.

  ITALY
Italian Markets Convulse After Budget Standoff With EU Deepens BB
Ten-year yield breaks above 3.5% for first time since 2014 * Deputy Prime Minister Di Maio shrugs off EU criticism of plans

Salvini Says Juncker's Austerity Regime Europe's Real EnemyBB
Rome on collision course with European Commission over budget * Nationalist leaders target EU elections in May next year

Italy’s Debt Crisis Flares Up, Banks Get Hit, as Showdown with the EU IntensifiesWolf Street

Italian Stocks, Bonds Collapse After EU Rejects Rome's Budget PlansZH

Italy’s Salvini attacks Brussels as bonds sell off FT
Deputy PM hits out at investors and EU rules as borrowing costs hit 4-year high
an hour ago

Italy’s new fiscal plans: the options of the European CommissionBruegel
The Italian government has announced an increase of its deficit for 2019, breaking the commitment from the previous government to decrease it to 0.8% next year. This blog post explores the options for the European Commission and the procedures prescribed by the European fiscal framework in this case.


OTHER
The Big Read: IMF: the fight to woo a sceptical US over fundingFT
Populism, a trade war and a cynical White House are making life hard for the fund as it seeks new capital

World trade: from boom to bust
ING
Trade growth looks set to almost halve in 2018 to 2.6% and could drop to 1.3% in 2019, the lowest level since the trade collapse of 2009. The current trade conflict is one of the reasons, but there’s more going on

  CHINA
No massive monetary stimulus on the way from the PBoC Pictet
Over the weekend, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a cut of 100 basis points (bps) in banks’ required reserve ratio (RRR).

El-Erian: China Resorts to Old Tools for New Economic ProblemsBB
Central Bank efforts to fight a slowdown will stifle the critical shift to growth based on consumption. 

China Faces a Bleaker End to 2018 as Central Bank Cuts Reserve Ratio Again BB
Move releases $175 billion; some earmarked for PBOC repayment * Step raises questions on how PBOC will avoid weaker yuan

Chinese Stocks Slump as Markets Reopen After Break; Yuan FallsBB
Nation’s equities suffer worst October start in a decade * Markets catch up to Hong Kong losses on return from holidays


REGULARS
EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels Edition DailyBB
Anti-Austerity ‘Earthquake’

Brussels BriefingFT

Eco Day Europe – BB
China Cuts, IMF Descends on Bali, Nobel Prize Winners

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

WSJ Daily EconomicsWSJ
Why U.S. Tariffs On Chinese Goods Are Here to Stay

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Trade war induces China to ease monetary policy again

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
China and European Woes Weigh on Equities but Buoy the Dollar

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Spitzen runners and riders — Election central — New Brexit optimism

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Eco Day USBB
China Cuts, IMF Descends on Bali, Nobel Prize Winners

US OpenZH
Stocks Tumble On "Terrible Trio" Of China Crash, Rate Rout, And Italian Standoff

US Open RundownRANsquawk

AamukatsausNordea
Brasiliassa edessä presidentinvaalien toinen kierros, oikeistolainen Bolsonaro ja työväenpuolueen Haddad jatkoon | Tällä viikolla tulossa useita inflaatiojulkistuksia | USA:n työmarkkinaraportti sävyltään vahva, työttömyysaste laski 3,7 prosenttiin