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Tuesday, January 30

30th Jan - Notable red day


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Monthly candlesticks



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EUROPE
Government Analysis: The UK Will Be Worse Off In Every ScenarioBuzzfeed
BuzzFeed News has seen a new Brexit impact assessment, which says leaving the EU will adversely hit almost every sector and every UK region.

  DATA
Economic Sentiment edges down slightly from 17-year high – EU
GDP up by 0.6% in both the euro area and the EU28 –
Eurostat
Euro zone growth at 10-year high in 2017, January sentiment dips – Reuters
Euro-Area’s Strong 2017 Finish, confidence high – BB
Q4 GDP growth strong, but not stronger – Pictet


UNITED STATES
Trump’s Agenda Faces Tough Fiscal Reality After State of the UnionBB
Tax cut of $1.5 trillion projected to balloon federal deficit * President has backed away from proposal for welfare overhaul

Mnuchin: "I Absolutely Support A Strong Dollar Over The Longer Term"ZH


MARKETS / OTHER
Ten-year Treasury yield has further to risePictet
Taking into account last December’s fiscal reforms in the US, we have revised up our end-of-the year target for the 10-year Treasury yield.

Market Euphoria May Turn to Despair If 10-Year Yield Jumps to 3% - BB
Stocks, high-yield bonds, munis at risk as interest rates rise * ‘Goldilocks’ scenario only works if debt yields rise gradually

European Credit Markets Plunge To 6-Month Lows; Stocks TankZH

Nomura: "What Was That?"ZH
Today’s talking-point is the buy-side head-scratching on widespread ‘minor but curious’ performance wobbles experienced yesterday, as numerous consensual trades (largely concentrated in equities though) reversed course and disrupted the placid ‘momentum’ / ‘carry’ market of the past month

REGULARS
FirstFT Daily BriefingFT
Brexit leak, Russia sanctions, super blue blood moon

WSJ CityWSJ
Global Bonds Swoon Amid Pickup in Growth, JP Morgan Plans for Life After Dimon

“Best of the web” daily charts Lukas Daalder

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Daily Market Comment Marc Chandler
Dollar and Bonds Stabilize; Equities not Yet

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Parliament’s new leadership — EU readies for US trade war — UK poorer with any Brexit

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

US OpenZH
Global Markets A Sea Of Red As Dollar Selloff Resumes

FrontrunningZH


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus Nordea
Euroalueelta saadaan pikaennakko 4. neljänneksen BKT-luvuista | Saksasta julkaistaan inflaatioluvut | Markkinoilla korot olivat nousussa

AamukatsausDanske Bank

Miten luoda turvalliset velkakirjat Eurooppaan ilman yhteisvastuuta?Euro ja Talous
Euroopasta puuttuu koko alueen kattava ja turvallinen sijoituskohde, joka tarjoaisi luotettavan takaisinmaksun yksittäisen valtion taloustilanteesta riippumatta sekä likvidit jälkimarkkinat.