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Tuesday, December 20

20th Dec - Quiet Berlin-aftermath





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EUROPE

Elements of surprise 2017: The real (ECB) tapering – Nordea
Will 2017 be a dreadful bond year because the ECB unexpectedly turns hawkish? We examine why and how a swift normalisation of ECB’s monetary policy could be conducted. We assess how curves could react, and how high the Bund could go.


  GERMANY
‘Here in our country’ – Politico
Berlin attack is also an assault on German politics – FT
Christmas Market Tragedy Hands Merkel Critics Line of Attack – BB
View: Berlin and Merkel Will Survive This Attack, Too – BB

 
OTHER
Chief Economist's Corner: 2017 looking good, but unpredictability reigns – Nordea
2016 is coming to an end and it’s certainly been an exciting and completely unpredictable year.

BOJ upbeat on economy, Kuroda shrugs off talk of rate hike – Reuters

Nominal vs Effective Exchange Rates – Marc Chandler


REGULARS
Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
Italian government preparing to use public money to support banks * BoJ more optimistic * German bonds rally, curve continues to bull-flatten * USD in demand

Morning Markets – TF
Risk sentiment has taken a hit tomorrow following an outlandishly grim holiday news cycle yesterday that saw terror attacks and a ruthless assassination strike multiple regions of the globe.
  
Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Yen Surrenders Yesterday's Gains, while Euro Struggles to Hold above $1.04

Daily Press Summary – Open Europe

Brussels Playbook – Politico

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB
Bank of Japan * Terror attacks * Italy bank fund * Markets mixed * Obama to block oil rights

10 things you need to know before the opening bell – BI

US Open – ZH
S&P Futures Rise Propelled By Stronger Dollar; Europe At 1 Year High As Yen, Bonds Drop

Frontrunning – ZH

FX Update – TF
The Bank of Japan upgraded its assessment of the Japanese economy but fretted over still-low inflation expectations and kept policy unchanged leading to a strong USDJPY bounceback as the US dollar was broadly firming again anyway.


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Japanin keskuspankki optimistisena * Ruotsissa julkaistaan joulukuun kuluttajien ja teollisuuden luottamusindeksit * Tänään pidetään Turkin ja Unkarin keskuspankkien rahapoliittiset kokoukset * Saksan yritysten luottamuksesta kertova Ifo-indeksi nousi miltei kolmen vuoden huippuihinsa