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Friday, November 23

23rd Nov - Still no bounce


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EUROPE
Editorial: Europe’s First Small Step Toward Fiscal ReformBB
The Macron-Merkel plan is timid — but it’s a start.

Eurozone PMI casts doubt on 4Q bounce back ING
As the eurozone economy continues to show weakness in the fourth quarter, a quick bounce back in growth is unlikely and the recovery could be more spread out. This means that annual growth for 2018 is unlikely to get to 2%

Bank of Italy sounds the alarm over banks’ stability FT
Rising yields threaten financial sector and will cost billions in interest payments

Italy and the EU: a debt-based excessive deficit procedure Pictet
This week, the European Commission issued its opinion on Italy’s budget plans.

ECB minutes pre-signal downward revision in ECB’s staff projectionsABN AMRO


OTHER
Our 2019 guide to global central banks ING
Fed: A steady grind * ECB: Growth and inflation doubts raise questions about first rate hike * BOE: Waiting on Brexit * PBOC: Expect RRR cuts every quarter to save private firms * BOJ: Only speculation * SNB: No hikes expected before 2020 * BOC: Hawkish stance opens door to two or more hikes in 2019 * RBOA: Still relaxed

US-China trade update: G20 meeting previewPictet
A new low point in trade tensions between the US and China was reached in September 2018 when the US placed an additional 10% duty on roughly USD200 billion of Chinese imports

China Leading IndicatorsDanske Bank
It gets worse before it gets better

China Weekly LetterDanske Bank
All eyes on the Xi-Trump meeting, cautious optimism * APEC meeting underlines long-term US-China rivalry * Chinese economy gets worse before it gets better


REGULARS
EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels Edition DailyBB

Brussels BriefingFT

Eco Day EuropeBB
ECB Warns on Italy, Brexit Options, South Africa Hikes

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Happy (Brexit) weekend — Green is the new red — Circular economy legacy

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Eco Day USBB
Black Friday, Trade-War Profiteering, Euro-Area Blow

US OpenZH
US Equity Futures Slide After Euro PMIs Stumble; China, Crude Plunge

US Open RundownRANsquawk

AamukatsausNordea
Tänään julkaistaan euroalueen uudet ostopäällikköindeksit | Iso-Britannia ja EU pääsivät alustavaan sopimukseen Brexitin jälkeisistä suhteistaan | Punta vahvistui eilen, tänään Japanin markkinat ovat suljettuna