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Friday, March 8

8th Mar - Markets not happy with ECB #4040


EUROPE
Is the eurozone fixable?FT
Alphachat podcast with Ashoka Mody of Princeton and Waltraud Schelkle of the LSE. The subject: Italy, but more broadly, whether the eurozone could ever possibly come up with a policy that works for both Italy and Germany. That is: is the eurozone inherently flawed? Or is it fixable?

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Eurozone banks buy sovereign bonds, reviving ‘doom loop’ fearFT
Banks purchases of domestic debt revive as ECB launches fresh injection of cheap lending

Editorial: Europe Isn’t Ready for the Next RecessionBB
Its central bank just loosened monetary policy. What if that isn’t enough?

The Real Problem With Negative RatesBB
The ECB knows negative rates can mean lower bank lending; but retreating brings other risks.

Draghi’s Stimulus Gift Looks a Bit StingyBB
A murky economic outlook supports a moderate approach to policy. Since the ECB chose to act rather than wait, it could only do so much.

ECB introduces 'easing risk premium' on EURDanske Bank
A very dovish tone from the ECB today removes key driver for EUR/USD upside * As a result we lower our EUR/USD and EUR/CHF forecast profiles markedly * We now see very limited upside in EUR/USD and merely target 1.17 in 12M

EUR: Another punch from the ECB to the euroING
The ECB is slowly but surely taking away factors for a domestically induced EUR rally. With the Fed due to hike in Q3, we expect EUR/USD to fall to 1.10. The dovish ECB is negative for SEK but positive for HUF


UNITED STATES
Elizabeth Warren Proposes Breaking Up Tech Giants Like Amazon and Facebook NYT

The Real Estate Market in Charts Ben Carlson

  FEBRUARY PAYROLLS
U.S. Hiring Slows Sharply in February – WSJ
Bad Jobs Report? Don’t Sweat It. – WSJ
Keeping an eye on the clock – Pictet
U.S. Payrolls Shock Suggests Dawn of a Long-Forecast Slowdown – BB
US hiring comes to near halt but wages rise – FT


OTHER
I covered the City for 20 years — here’s what I learntFT
Sarah Gordon on rampant egos, defining deals and the dangers of financial ignorance


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day AsiaBB

Eco Day AsiaBB
Central Banks' New Normal, ECB Debate, China New Plans * What India’s top women economists are predicting for this year * How a Chinese exodus is exacerbating Australian property slump

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB

EU Open Rundown RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Brussels Briefing FT
China drives a belt and road through Europe: news of Italy endorsing Beijing’s initiative grips Brussels and influential EU capitals

Brussels EditionBB
Taxing Tech Giants

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Operation Saving Manfred — Money talks in the Year of the Yellow Jackets — Happy International Women’s Day

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Worried ECB opens the door for easing

Eco Day EuropeBB
New Normal for Central Banks, ECB Letdown, U.S. Jobs * Italy is suffering as women lag others in economic activity * Japan’s economy expanded more than expected in fourth quarter

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Equities Slump on Growth Concerns ahead of US Jobs

Five Things to Start Your Day US BB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US OpenZH
Goldilocks Is Over: Global Stocks Tumble On Fresh Growth Fears, China Crash

Eco Day USBB
U.S. Job’s Day, Draghi Disappointment, New Normal * Wages seen reheating as U.S. payroll gains forecast to cool * Draghi’s goodbye gift received with disappointment by markets


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus: EKP menetti uskonsa Nordea
EKP yllätti ilmoittamalla uusista lisäelvytysoperaatioista | Kyyhkymäisen EKP:n myötä euro heikentyi ja korot laskivat reippaasti | Tänään markkinoiden huomio kiinnittyy USA:n työmarkkinaraporttiin