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Wednesday, May 18

18th May - FOMC minutes tighter than expected



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EUROPE
Is the eurozone recovery for real?BlackRock
The eurozone is experiencing a consumption-led growth uptick. Our experts at the BlackRock Investment Institute examine whether the recovery is sustainable.

Smugglers made over $5 billion from migrants in 2015: reportPolitico

Spain and Portugal could face EU sanctions over national budgetsPolitico

Germany Is Very, Very TiredView / BB

The Case For Germany Leaving The Euro #GexitSocial Europe

Inflation-Outlook Optimism Growing Even as Prices Drop in April BB

Germany and IMF in Staredown Over Greek Debt ReliefYves Smith


UNITED STATES
  FEDERAL RESERVE
5 Things to Watch in the Fed’s April Meeting Minutes – WSJ
Fed’s Williams, Lockhart See at Least Two Rate Hikes in 2016 – BB
Fed Officials Come Looking For A Fight – Tim Duy
April 2016 meeting’s minutes – FED
FOMC Minutes Show Cornered Fed "Likely" To Hike Rates In June – ZH


OTHER
FX Market Voice | The Market’s Yen for YenThomson Reuters


REGULARS
Danske DailyDanske Bank

Euro rates updateNordea

Eye-OpenerNordea
Hawkish Fed comments, mixed inflation data, upside surprise from Japan * Long yields edge higher * GBP performs

Morning MarketsTF
Asian stocks fell on Wednesday on cue from Wall Street weakness overnight after Fed policymakers rekindled chances of a June US rate hike. Japanese shares rebounded on a surprisingly strong preliminary first-quarter GDP growth estimate in the world's third-largest economy but drifted back in late afternoon trade.

Daily Market Comment Marc Chandler
Greenback Recovers as Rate Support is Enhanced

Daily Market CommentMacro Man
Dell bonds: too good to be true?

Euro Wrap-upDaiwa

Daily ShotTF
Yesterday's outings by key Federal Reserve officials showed a central bank that is apparently ready to resume the policy normalisation process. Given the strong data out of the US of late markets are now raising the probability of one or more US rate rises this year.

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Cameron and Grayling rule out second referendum in event of ‘Remain’ vote * German Constitutional Court to rule on ECB bond-buying programme in June * Ireland’s bid to exempt Irish citizens from UK benefits restrictions could be illegal under EU law * EU Commission set to grant Italy budget leeway, while Spain faces fine for excessive deficit * Queen expected to announce British Bill of Rights goes ahead but Sovereignty Bill is dropped * Rajoy: Brexit would be bad for Europe and the UK * New German polls show SPD’s decline continues *New report: Refugees will repay EU spending almost twice over in five years * EU Commission call for increased nuclear energy cooperation faces strong opposition in Germany *Far-right MEP group costs taxpayers €1m a month * Brexit would make the UK a “poor cousin” of European science, new report claims

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Economic medicine — NATO chiefs meet

US OpenZH
Copper Slides To Three Month Low Despite Flat Futures, Oil; Dollar Rise Continues

FrontrunningZH

FX UpdateTF
EURUSD pushed below 1.1300 again overnight while USDCHF rose to two-month highs and tested its 200-day moving average. USDJPY remains the last holdout for confirming a full-scale strong USD regime ahead of the FOMC minutes tonight.

From the FloorTF
The Fed has once again reignited talk of a June rate hike but it looks like a red herring. September is the earliest likely date and December still holds sway on the floor.


FINLAND & FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Japanin BKT-luvut näyttävät paremmilta kuin ovat * Britannian inflaatio hidastui odotusten vastaisesti * Britannia julkaisee maaliskuun työllisyyslukunsa * Fedin kokouspöytäkirjassa ei yllätyksiä

Komissio: Suomen toimet eivät riitä – suosittaa paikallista sopimista Verkkouutiset
EU:n komission maakohtaisten suositusten mukaan Suomen on tehtävä lisää toimia taloutensa tasapainottamiseksi.

Pentti Hakkarainen: Talouskasvun edellytyksetSuomen Pankki