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Tuesday, November 8

8th Nov - US election day



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EUROPE
Noah Smith: The U.S.'s Misplaced Admiration for EuropeView / BB
People in the U.S. have a special fascination with Europe. It seems like many Americans still think of that continent as their parent civilization -- an example to be admired, a model to be emulated.


UNITED STATES
  PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
US election monitor: Timetable of election night – Danske Bank
Trading The Event: "Keep It Simple" And Watch This Indicator – ZH
Guide To Election Night: What To Watch For And When – ZH
Gideon Rachman: The final countdown – FT
Cheat Sheet: How Markets Will React to the Election – BB
Hour-by-Hour Guide to Following Election Day – BB
Election Update: ELECTION DAYYYYY – Nordea
Chandler: Trump Win Could Destabilize Markets, Delay Fed – BB
Odds of Fed Rate Increase Rise With Election Certainty – WSJ

  
REGULARS
Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eye-OpenerNordea
Markets cautiously optimistic on Clinton win * On the data side German and UK production numbers * Rates bounce as equities recover * USD firms ahead of the US election

Morning MarketsTF
Americans vote on Tuesday in the culmination of the most bizarre US presidential election campaign in modern memory. Asian stocks started in rally mode though drifted back later in the session. Wall Street stocks rose on Monday partly on speculation that Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton's chances of winning have improved following a weekend announcement from the FBI saying that she had not committed any crime with her emails.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa

Daily Market Comment Marc Chandler
Consolidation Featured as Market Catches and Holds Breath

Daily Market CommentMacro Man
The long national nightmare: the end of phase one

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Theresa May to outline Brexit plans within weeks * Starmer clarifies Labour will not block Article 50 but Government must reveal negotiating plan * Timmermans: “I really believe that the European project can fail”

Brussels PlaybookPolitico

US OpenZH
Global Stocks Higher, US Futures Lower As America Begins Voting

FrontrunningZH

FX UpdateTF
Today we look at various election result scenarios and how the currency market may react to what could prove a more complicated result than a simple Clinton win or Trump win – especially if Clinton wins very narrowly.


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Markkinat uskovat Clintonin voittoon * Isossa-Britanniassa asuntojen hinnat ovat ylittäneet Brexitiä edeltäneen tason * Euroalueen syyskuun vähittäismyynti laski 0,2 prosenttia edelliskuusta * Kreikan valtionlainat hyötyivät Kreikan hallituksen uusista nimityksistä

Onneksi Turkki ei ole EU:n jäsenJukka Hankamäki

Keskuspankiltakin vaaditaan tilivelvollisuuttaPeter Nyberg