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Tuesday, January 15

15th Jan - Quiet


EUROPE
Editorial: Reject May’s Brexit and Go Back to Voters BB
The deal on offer is no good. The U.K. should stop and think again.

How the AfD could save the EUPolitico
Far-right party wants a ‘Dexit,’ but that doesn’t reflect the national mood.

Mario Draghi: 20th anniversary of the euro ECB

  GERMANY
Germany: Getting away with one black eye ING
The German economy had its weakest performance in five years but seems to have avoided a technical recession

Political clouds gather over Germany’s export machineFT
Economy risks slide into technical recession as trade spats and Brexit hit sentiment

German economic growth cools in 2018 to lowest rate in five years FT
Europe’s powerhouse may avoid technical recession in second half of year, economists say

Debt overhang, rollover risk, and corporate investment in Europevoxeu
Euro area corporate sector investment collapsed post-crisis, especially in periphery countries. The column uses firm and bank data to investigate whether corporate debt accumulated during the boom years was responsible. Firms with higher leverage or firms that borrowed more decreased investment more, especially when linked to weak banks. These channels explain about 60% of the decline in aggregate corporate investment during the crisis.

The mixed success of the Stability and Growth Pactvoxeu
The corrective arm of the pact, which is procyclical by design, is an important driver of euro area fiscal policy. The preventive arm, which is designed to avoid the need for such procyclical policies, is much less effective and reform of the pact should focus on addressing this.


UNITED STATES
In a Month You’ll Wish the Shutdown Were Only as Bad as Today BB
No IPOs. Court cases delayed. Transit services shut down * ‘Shutdowns don’t get bad linearly. They get bad exponentially’


OTHER
Should China's central bank buy local equities? FT
The government should pull the fiscal lever again instead.


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing FT

Brussels BriefingFT
The Siemens-Alstom tie-up is seen an opportunity to create a European ‘Railbus’ able to go toe-to-toe with China’s CRR

Brussels Edition BB

Brussels Playbook Politico
Gdańsk mayor dies — Brexit vote day — Danke for Dexit

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Uphill battle for May's Brexit deal

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
New Phase Begins with UK Vote

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

US Open Rundown RANsquawk

US OpenZH
Global Rally Fizzles As Traders Look Beyond Latest Chinese Stimulus

 
FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Iso-Britannian parlamentti äänestää tänään Brexit-sopimuksesta: läpimeno yhä epätodennäköistä | Tänään saadaan myös Saksan viime vuoden BKT-lukuja | Kiina lisäämässä talouden elvytystä, Ruotsin hallituksen muodostamisen vaikeudet jatkuvat