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Thursday, January 24

24th Jan - ECB admits weakness, remains "alert" #4003




 
EUROPE

  JANUARY PMIs
Flash France Composite PMI – Markit
Flash Germany Composite PMI – Markit
Flash Eurozone Composite PMI – Markit

Eurozone PMI signals economy almost stalled in January – ING
The PMI fell to 50.7 in January from 51.1, indicating that 1Q is again off to a disappointing start. The lack of recovery in January will add to the heated debate about the state of the economy at today’s ECB meeting

France: Surveys confirm economic standstill – ING
In France, preliminary PMI indicators for January show sentiment in manufacturing has stabilised, which confirms INSEE’s survey data published this week. However, sentiment in services continues to deteriorate, going deeper into contraction territory

Euro area: Extended weakness – Nordea
Today’s Euro-area PMIs confirm the weakness seen last year extended into 2019. Hopes of a quick rebound in economic activity are unrealistic and the ECB may soon be forced to consider new stimulus measures


   EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Introductory statement to the press conference – ECB
The ECB should do the national twist with its reinvestments – FT
ECB sets scene for change in rate guidance – ABN AMRO
ECB meeting: Increased alertness – ING
ECB finally admitted that growth risks are biased downwards – Nordea
Marcus Ashworth: Draghi Sells a Lemon, and the Market Buys It – BB


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day Asia – BB

Eco Day Asia – BB
Zero U.S. Growth, Davos Defends Order, China's Pledge * Germany’s drying rivers are hurting growth amid recession risk * South Africa’s land seizures aren’t about farming, but justice

EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Brussels Briefing – FT
Brussels flexes legal muscle over departing UK with ECJ case - certain tax breaks allegedly give traders in the City of London an unfair advantage

Brussels Edition – BB
Surveying the Slowdown

Brussels Playbook – Politico
All eyes on Greece — Refugee crisis redux — Merkel’s Davos auf wiedersehen

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eco Day Europe – BB
China Fights Growth Worry, Brexit Delay, Bank of Korea * Analysts see Brexit extension as more harmful to U.K. economy * Chinese vice president looks to calm on economic slowdown

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Poor EMU PMI Compounds ECB's Challenge

Five Things to Start Your Day US – BB

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Eco Day US – BB
U.S. Shutdown Damage, ECB Rate Decision, German Plunge * German manufacturing slump casts cloud over Europe’s economy * ECB policy makers set to play for time as growth outlook sours