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Monday, September 5

5th Sep - Merkel loses, good PMIs, Brexit bounce





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EUROPE
Interview with Joseph StiglitzEuropp
“The cost of keeping the Eurozone together probably exceeds the cost of breaking it up”

Apple CEO: EU ‘intentionally misleading’ on taxesPolitico

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Introductory remarks for the discussion panel ‘The Future of the Euro’ECB
Speech by Yves Mersch, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB

Draghi Nears His QE3 as ECB Seen Relying on Ever-More StimulusBB
Economists predict extension of bond buying past March 2017 * Almost half of survey respondents expect ECB action this week

ECB warnings and yield target allusionsFT
It's running out of available bonds to buy. The constraint is self-imposed and, as such, can be alleviated.

QE: quantitatively shrinking collateral reuse FT

QE slowdown to EUR60bn and further out on the curve in GermanyDanske Bank

  GERMANY
Far-right AfD overtakes Merkel’s conservatives in regional vote – Politico
Angela Merkel stands by refugee policy despite AfD gains – Politico
AfD delivers another shock, but don’t rush to write Merkel off – Open Europe

  UNITED KINGDOM
May Sees Difficult Times Ahead for U.K. Economy Post-Brexit – BB
UK economy will suffer after Brexit vote: British PM May – Reuters
British government to set out plans on post-Brexit ties with EU in coming week – Reuters
Brexit may bring difficult times, says Theresa May – BBC
Theresa May's China trip more than a 'getting-to-know-you session' – BBC
Theresa May: I’ll push for best deal on Brexit – Politico
The only sensible way forward is an enhanced free-trade agreement – View / BB
Theresa May: Points-based migration no ‘silver bullet’ – Politico
Brexit minister calls for ‘unique’ EU deal – Politico
Brexit shock dissipates – UK PMI review – Nordea

Volume of retail trade up by 1.1% in euro area – Eurostat


OTHER
Leaked G-20 Draft Reveals More Fiscal, Monetary Stimulus Coming ZH

Economic Czars Warn G-20 of Risk From Populist Backlash on TradeBB
IMF, WTO, OECD leaders speak about trade concerns in China * IMF’s Lagarde, WTO’s Azevedo urge businesses to speak out

EM Traffic LightNordea
More political risks, another devaluation ahead

Austerity and the rise of populismFrances Coppola


REGULARS
Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eye-OpenerNordea

Morning MarketsTF
Markets have certainly moved quickly to dismiss the possibility of a rate hike this month but beneath the consensus there are some big hitters who think Fed chair Janet Yellen just might make the move this month.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
While Americans were Celebrating Labor Day

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe

Brussels PlaybookPolitico

US OpenZH
US Holiday, Global Stocks Rise As Dollar Sinks, While Fireworks Break Out In Crude

FX Update TF
Friday saw a rather weaker-than-expected US jobs report which triggered a series of choppy moves in major USD pairs market action that leaves USD traders lacking any constructive signal on where greenback is headed next. Today’s focusis on whether the recent GBP surge can extend.

From the FloorTF
Markets opened September's first full trading week in the green in Asia but the month's central bank meetings and political risks – most notably in Greece and Italy – could come to further underscore the shakiness of the current order.

FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea



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