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Wednesday, February 6

6th Feb - Still bad data from Europe #4014



EUROPE
  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
ECB Is Said to Need More Convincing on Long-Term Loans for BanksBB
Officials haven’t yet discussed need for new bank funding * Decision on longer-term funding offer in March is uncertain

Daniel Gros: The Mirage of a Global Euro Project Syndicate
When the euro was introduced a generation ago, European leaders envisaged a common currency that would come to rival the US dollar as a second global reserve currency. That hope has failed to materialize – an outcome that European leaders would be wise to welcome.

Debt-laden borrowers revel in Europe’s buyout boomFT
Risky companies pile on more debt with fewer safeguards, despite regulatory scrutiny

Fiscal spillovers in a monetary unionECB

Recent developments in oil prices ECB

  GERMANY
German factory orders drop in December in latest sign of slowdown FT
New orders in manufacturing fall despite expectations of rise

Germany: Industrial slowdown continuesING
Industrial orders took another nosedive, indicating that any rebound in industrial activity will be slow and sluggish. But there is some light at the end of a very long tunnel.

New German CDU leader calls for European armyFT
Kramp-Karrenbauer say EU cannot be ball played between US, Russia and China


UNITED STATES
  STATE OF THE UNION
Full text – CNN
Trump’s State of the Balcony Address – BB
Trump uses State of the Union to reveal Kim summit – FT
Trump Yields No Ground to Democrats in Combative State of Union – BB
Trump calls for rejection of 'politics of revenge' in speech that jabs Democrats – CNN
In dissonant speech, Trump seeks unity while depicting ruin – WaPo
5 takeaways from Trump’s address – WaPo
Trump Asks for Unity, but Presses Hard Line on Immigration – NYT
Takeaways From Trump’s 2019 State of the Union Address – NYT
US State of the Union: Building walls, not bridges – ING
Editorial: Trump’s State of the Union Address Was Almost Good – BB


OTHER
Facebook to link employee bonuses to progress on social issues FT
Company sets new criteria after facing criticism for ‘growth-at-all costs’ mentality

IMF Staff Floats Dual Money to Allow Much Deeper Negative Rates BB

How Bad Is China's Economic Slowdown? It Depends What You SellBB
Bull case: consumer spending still robust, government stimulus * Bear case: global companies raising red flags, trade war


REGULARS
EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing FT

Brussels BriefingFT
Germany pushes for an EU industrial policy revolution - Siemens and Alstom provided insufficient remedies to address concerns that any combined entity would have a virtual monopoly in some European markets

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
State of Trump’s union — May back in town — Giants and unicorns, oh my

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Little news in Trump's State of the Union speech

Eco Day EuropeBB
Brexit and Productivity, Trump Speech, RBA Bias Change * Italy is preparing to sell 1.8b euros of state-owned property * Asian emerging markets are preparing to dump hawkish bias

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler

Five Things to Start Your Day USBB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US OpenZH
Global Rally Fizzles After Horrible German Data; Aussie Dollar Plunges, Iron Ore Surges

Eco Day USBB
Trump's Speech, ECB in No Hurry on Loans, U.K. Outlook * Trump inflates U.S. economic achievements from jobs to wages * ECB said to need more convincing on long-term loans for banks


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Trump piti eilen puheen kansakunnan tilasta, ei tarjonnut yllätyksiä | Puolan ja Brasilian keskuspankit kokoustavat tänään | USA:n palvelusektorin luottamus jatkoi laskuaan, myös Ruotsin ja Britannian palveluiden ostopäällikköindeksit laskussa

2013 – The Finnish DivergenceETLA

Jan Hurri: Omatekoinen taantuma – VM neuvoo, miten se uusitaan IS
Suomi vasta toipuu edellisestä omatekoisesta taantumasta, kun VM jo yllyttää valmistelemaan seuraavaa. Parasta kai kiristää omaakin vyötä jo valmiiksi, kirjoittaa erikoistoimittaja Jan Hurri.

Seppo Varjus: Ministeriön luvuilla luututtiin lattiaa – talouskuri valui viemäristä alasIS
Pitkään hallinnut [talouskuri-]ideologia hiipuu Euroopassa. Olisi ihme, jos tämä ei näkyisi Suomessakin.