Roundups &
Commentary
Frontrunning – ZH
The Lunch Wrap – alphaville
/ FT
Emerging N.Y. headlines – beyondbrics
/ FT
Daily press summary – Open
Europe
The German Constitutional Court a growing battleground in the eurozone crisis?; ECB
denies claims that its bond-buying programme will be subject to limits
Morning MoneyBeat: The Rally’s Next Chapter – WSJ
Morning Bond Update – TradingFloor
Yen and Australian Dollar Tumble, Other Majors Little Changed – Marc
to Market
Morning Briefing
(EU/US) – BNY
Mellon
Revisiting
the basis for a concerted recovery in the performance of the USD
EUROPE
As this is a hearing,
no ruling or decision is to be expected from the court this week. That will
only come in late summer or autumn. Given that the court gave a (provisional
and conditional but still a) green light to the ESM and the Fiscal Pact on 12
September 2012, it
would be a huge surprise (and shock) if they stopped the OMT. The event risk
appears small but is surely skewed to the negative side.
ECB in court – MacroScope
/ Reuters
EU Week Ahead: June 10 -15 – WSJ
A lot of the action in
the Brussels bubble this week takes place outside of Brussels, including a
Friday meeting of trade ministers that will discuss the EU's fight with China
over solar panels,
ASIA
May data from China suggest continued weak growth in Q2, but a
significant worsening seems unlikely. The large drop in trade data is likely a
result of disappeared data manipulation.
New rules to reduce
risk in China’s financial sector and clamp down on illegal capital flows last month
took some of the heat out of what had been a torrid year for borrowing. But
amid worries that a slowdown in lending could be risky as the economy also
slows, some are asking why lending had
been so strong to begin with.
Risks are rising that China's economic growth will slide further in the
second quarter after weekend data showed unexpected weakness in May trade and
domestic activity struggling to pick up.
Monitor: Japanese investor flows – Danske
Bank (pdf)
The weekly data show
that Japanese investors have been net sellers of foreign bonds over the past
three weeks
OTHER
The bear case for equities – Humble
Student
Mystery chart leads to FX mystery – Humble
Student
Confusion: High
Public Debt Levels and Other Sources of Risk in Today’s Macroeconomic
Environment – Brad DeLong
The fact that we are here makes me fear that much of what I thought
seven years ago was just completely wrong.
Key Events And Market
Issues In The Coming Week – ZH
FINNISH
Merkel pelaa kovaa sisäpoliittista peliä – Verkkouutiset
Saksan
hallituskoalitio on irtaantumassa tiukasta talouskuripolitiikasta
Etelä-Euroopan kriisimaiden kohdalla ja suunnittelee niille saksalaista
erityisapuohjelmaa maan kehityspankin (KfW) avustuksella. Saksa saattaa olla
pian valmis myöntämään suoraa taloudellista tukea kriisimaille ja
sisällyttämään uusia takauksia valtion budjettiin.
"Poliittisista syistä" – Juhani
Huopainen / Suomen Perusta / US Puheenvuoro
Teollisuuden
uudet tilaukset vähenivät huhtikuussa 2,0% vuoden takaisesta – Tilastokeskus
Teollisuustuotanto väheni huhtikuussa 9,7% vuoden
takaisesta – Tilastokeskus
Tehdyn työtunnin kustannus nousi
tammi-maaliskuussa 4,1% – Tilastokeskus
Palkkasumma kasvoi helmi-huhtikuussa 1,7%
vuoden takaisesta – Tilastokeskus
Eurooppa
töihin - mutta miten? – Hannu
Visti