The best articles from the
ending week. Last week’s ‘best’ here.
EUROPE
Austerity, like a B-movie monster, will keep coming
back – FT
Wolfgang Münchau: Despite its debt crisis, the eurozone
behaves like a regular large, closed economy. The trouble is that it is run,
and often analysed, as no more than the sum of its parts. The tragic error of
the eurozone’s policy makers is to repeat this fallacy of composition again and
again. It is the same with austerity. That, too, will return.
The Macroeconomics of European Disunion – Krugman
/ NYT
Every once in a while it’s worth backing up and thinking
about the fundamental craziness of aggregate European policy.
Is the euro a foreign currency to member states?
– voxeu.org
Spain
and Britain
have similar debt problems. So why does Spain
face far higher sovereign-interest rates? Is this only about Eurozone membership?
This column argues that Eurozone membership does not fully explain this
discrepancy and that, in fact, it is central banks which cannot provide an
effective backstop to national debt that are the root cause of high
sovereign-interest rates. Eurozone members are more vulnerable to debt crises
to the extent that the ECB cannot count on the joint support of national fiscal
authorities.
The urgent need to
recapitalise Europe’s banks – voxeu.org
Europe has been postponing the
recapitalisation of its banking sector. This column argues that it has been
doing so for far too long. Without such a recapitalisation, the danger is that
economic stagnation will continue for a long period, thereby putting Europe
on a course towards Japanese-style inertia and the proliferation of zombie
banks.
The euro: An inconvenient truth – TradingFloor
Juhani Huopainen: Political parties that still believe that
the euro is a success story, that Greece
will pay its debts and that the burden will have to be shared, are not credible
or rational. Honesty instead would be a good foundation for co-operation and a
new era.
Yes, Europe really is in
the throes of austerity – Wonkblog
/ WP
Regional transfers in
Europe: Do we need fewer of them or different
ones? – voxeu.org
The EU encourages regional cohesion through transfers for
structural changes and development. This column presents new research
suggesting that some poorer countries don't benefit as well as we might expect.
This is likely to be because of worse technological and institutional
absorptive capacity. Structural transfers need reform, and policymakers would
do well to focus on recipients’ absorptive capacity.
IMF’S ERRORS
Ignored Many Flaws
– alphaville
/ FT
So, the IMF (effectively) wishes to apologise to all
concerned for that little thing where it turned into Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s
presidential election campaign a few years back. Sorry if a country got broken
along the way:
IMF Concedes It Made
Mistakes on Greece – WSJ
Fund Says It Bent Rules on Debt Relief, but Argues That
Bought Time for Europe to Limit the Fallout
Ignored Many Flaws —
the report – alphaville / FT
Click for the IMF’s “ex post evaluation” of its role in the Greek bailout. Its mea culpa. And if you thought we were being harsh here, parts of the real thing are excoriating.
Click for the IMF’s “ex post evaluation” of its role in the Greek bailout. Its mea culpa. And if you thought we were being harsh here, parts of the real thing are excoriating.
ASIA
Abenomics Won’t Be
’Magic Bullet’ for Japan, Says Johnson of MIT – BB
The Yen’s Abenomics
Ride Seems Over – WSJ
Japan’s
stock market, which had staged the largest six-month rally in its history,
started to collapse two weeks ago, with the Nikkei index losing nearly 20% of
its value from the peak since then. And now it looks like that slide in the
yen, which has been so key to the success of Mr. Abe’s policies, may also now
be over.
OTHER
Has BIS Found the Solution to Too Big to Fail?
– WSJ
It’s a refrain you will hear from politicians, regulators,
even bankers. Nearly five years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, there is
still no answer to the problem of banks that are Too-Big-To-Fail.
Investment Outlook June 2013: Wounded Heart
– PIMCO
FINNISH
Näin Kreikka-vakuuksien sopimusmiina laukeaa – Jan
Hurri / TalSa
Valtiovarainministeriö
vahvistaa, että Kreikka-vakuudet eivät turvaa Suomea Kreikan hätäluottojen
huojennuksista koituvilta tappioilta. Velka-armahdus on kuitenkin VM:n mukaan
kuvitteellinen tilanne, jonka Suomi voi lisäksi estää. Valuuttarahasto IMF on
eri mieltä: sen mukaan Kreikan velka-armahdukset eivät ole kuvitelmaa vaan
välttämättömiä. Jos euromaat noudattavat IMF:n neuvoa, Suomen
sopimusmiina laukeaa.
Umpikujassa? – Aika on ajamassa
ammattiyhdistysliikkeen ohitse – Libera
(pdf)
Ajatuspaja
Liberan tänään julkaisemassa Umpikujassa? -raportissa vuorineuvos Gustav von
Hertzen, pitkän linjan yrittäjä Jalo Paananen ja EK:n entinen johtaja Seppo
Riski pohtivat ammattiyhdistysliikkeen tulevaisuutta.