Special: Finnish austerity package (updated)
EUROPE
Merkel may continue to preach fiscal and reformist virtue to the laggard
southern European “Club Med” Countries. But the appeals will ring hollow coming
from a chancellor who is sinning against the very commandments she is handing
down to her wayward flock. Instead of making the others more “German,” that is,
more competitive and productive, Germany is becoming more
like them.
Reactions on the
German Coalition Treaty – Bruegel
A debate about the coalition treaty has emerged as some issues remain
controversial such as the introduction of a nationwide minimum wage, new
benefits in pension policy, new excess spending and measures addressing the
challenge of the German energy turnaround.
The situation in Ukraine has turned from very tense to revolutionary.
Indeed, the opposition to President Viktor Yanukovych is calling for his
resignation and labeling their cause a “Euro Revolution.” On Sunday, December
1, hundreds of thousands of protesters seized control of a major public square
in Kiev.
EUROPEAN
CENTRAL BANK
Can we just hurry up
and go negative already? – alphaville
/ FT
Your ECB: fewer
hawks, more doves – alphaville
/ FT
The increasing north/south divide that has accompanied the euro area’s
drawn out crisis has lead to the balance of power shifting to the periphery.
Or: doves in the ascendant. Interesting too that the Bundesbank might thus be
pushing for ECB minutes to be released in order to quell those national
interests.
ECB Viewpoint: Not
again…
- Nordea
We expect very dovish signals from the ECB at this week’s monetary
policy meeting, but no change in key rates * Risks are clearly skewed towards
another rate cut and the door is likely to be left wide open to all
non-conventional measures including a negative deposit rate, LTROs or possibly
even QE * We could easily see the ECB announcing new liquidity measures to ease
concerns around the turn of the year.
PIIGS
European banks continue to be engaged in deleveraging. It is partly driven by new capital
requirements and partly by preparing for the next year's ECB's asset quality
review and stress test. The deleveraging
process includes reducing assets and boosting regulatory capital. Italian and Spanish officials are finding
creative ways to help the banks.
PMIs offer further
signs of CEE’s recovery – beyondbrics
/ FT
Emerging Markets:
Preview of the Week Ahead – Marc
to Market
UNITED STATES
Unemployment benefits will soon expire for 1.3 million workers. Where will they go? – WaPo
Unemployment benefits will soon expire for 1.3 million workers. Where will they go? – WaPo
MACRO
NUMBERS
Manuf ISM Highest Since April 2011, Employment To April 2012 Levels,
Taper Back In Play – ZH
Manuf ISM Increases in November to 57.3 – Calculated
Risk
Manuf ISM Stronger Than Expected – Bespoke
ISM very robust - raises probability of Fed tapering already in December
– Danske
Bank
Markit PMI: Stronger expansion for manufacturing in November – Calculated
Risk
FINNISH
Kataja:
Eläkeyhtiöiden päällekkäisyydet vastaavat yhden ikäluokan eläkemenoja – Satakunnan
Kansa
Romuttaako
Saksakin taloutensa? – Henri
Myllyniemi / PS