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EUROPE
Ten
Lessons from the Scottish Referendum – PIIE
The 55 percent
majority that rejected Scottish independence was perhaps not so lopsided as to
banish all Scottish nationalist dreams of another vote someday. But it was more
decisive than many opinion polls had predicted. At least 10 lessons can be
drawn from the process.
Merkel
"impressed" by French reforms, defers to EU on deficit – Reuters
Haushaltspolitik:
Schickt endlich die Helikopter! – Spiegel
Wolfgang
Münchau: Der Bankenrettungsschirm ESM soll jetzt helfen, Unternehmen mit
Krediten zu versorgen. Ein Vorschlag von beeindruckender Mutlosigkeit.
Wesentlich wirksamer wäre es, das Geld per Hubschrauber über der Eurozone
abzuwerfen.
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
In our
view, there are two factors behind the euro's continued weakness. Firstly, it
is not really all that weak...the dollar is just on a tear. Secondly, markets
have been pricing in expectations of an ECB-led QE programme for a long time,
but this does not look ready to materialize. In light of all this, could the
euro have finally hit bottom?
TLTRO
effect is the ECB’s Waiting for Godot – Reuters
European
QE is Not a Given — BlackRock – WSJ
UNITED STATES
OTHER
Daily
Central Banks – WSJ
Hilsenrath’s
Take: Without Two Hawks, Fed Rate Consensus a Quarter Point Lower * NY Fed
Dudley Says Would Be ‘Very Happy’ To Raise Rates Some Time In 2015 *Fed’s
Kocherlakota Seeks More Aggressive Approach to Inflation Target * ECB’s Draghi
Keeps Door Open to Quantitative Easing * China Manufacturing Activity Grows
Modestly in September
Daily
Macro – WSJ
Markets
were poised for the worst going into the opening of trading in Asia, but, in a
mark of how important China has become to global investors, all it took was a
modest expansion in HSBC’s “September flash” purchasing-managers index to
improve sentiment in regional trading. But then it was Europe’s turn for flash PMI results. These
showed a dismal performance for the eurozone’s factories, which meant European
shares started out their day on poor footing. Divergences in regions are for
once causing divergences in regional share markets.
Daily FX
Board: JPY pumps and dumps – TradingFloor
Citi
Previews How It All Ends, In One Chart – ZH
SEP PURCHASING MANAGER INDICES
China:
Slight improvement in PMI suggests slowdown less severe than feared – Danske
Bank
China September factory activity edges up
but employment shrinks – Reuters
German
Factory Growth at 15-Month Low in Sign of Uneven Economy – BB
Euro zone
business growth slows in September as prices keep sliding – Reuters
Euro Area
Suffers Unexpected Slowdown From Factories to Services – BB
Euro-Area
Surveys Show Slowdown Putting Pressure on ECB – BB
Euro PMI
still soft - German manufacturing weakens further – Danske
Bank
US
manufacturing boom continues in September – TradingFloor
U.S. manufacturing growth continues
apace in September – Reuters
FINNISH
VM:n Pikkarainen: Valtioiden velkakirjojen osto olisi
kuin eurobondi – TE
Oma avustaja ministeriksi – IL
Kokoomus saa jatkossakin vastata kysymyksiin sisäpiirin
tuolileikeistä, kirjoittaa politiikan toimittaja Tommi Parkkonen.
Elokuun työttömyysaste 7,4 prosenttia – Tilastokeskus
Suomen työllisyyden laskulle ei näy loppua – Roger
Wessman