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EUROPE
Europe
Fractures – ZH
France Pivots To Putin, Cyprus Offers Moscow Military Base, Germany-US Splinter On Ukraine
The four
unions "PIE" on the Monetary Union "CHERRY" – ECB
-a new
index of European Institutional Integration
Comparisons
and contrasts of the impact of the crisis on euro area labour markets – ECB
FX: 5 reasons
DKK peg won't go – Nordea
Ukraine's impending debt restructuring – Sober
Look
SNB Reduces
Holdings in Apple, Exxon, J&J, SEC Filing Shows – BB
GREENSPAN ON EURO
Greece: Greenspan predicts exit from euro
inevitable – BBC
Greenspan
Sees Greek Exit From Euro as Just a Matter of Time – BB
GREECE
Greece is Playing to Lose – Project
Syndicate
Whatever
form the surrender takes, Greece will not be the only loser. Proponents
of democracy and economic expansion have missed their best chance to
outmaneuver Germany and end the self-destructive
austerity that Germany has imposed on Europe.
Münchau: All
Grexit needs is a few more disastrous weeks like this – FT
Greece: The Tie That Doesn’t Bind – Krugman
/ NYT
A debt-for-equity
swap, or just something for something else? – Tony
Yates
Tsipras
Risks Overlooking Greece’s Lack of Access to Markets – WSJ
Greece: The Tie That Doesn’t Bind – Krugman
/ NYT
Geostrategic
Implications of a Grexit – Marc
to Market
Argentina’s Lessons for Greece – Project
Syndicate
Greek PM
Tsipras sets up another EU clash, refuses bailout extension – Reuters
No
extension to Greek bailout, says Tsipras – FT
Greece's Tsipras defiant over economic
plans – BBC
U.K. Is Readying Contingency Plans for
Possible Greek Eurozone Exit – WSJ
UK Begins Preparations For Grexit – ZH
Juncker
tells Greek PM: don't assume euro zone will accept your plans – Reuters
EU Urges
Tsipras to Rein In His Ambitions for Rollback – BB
Greek Bank
Bonds & Stocks Crumble To Record Lows – ZH
UBS: "A Market Dislocation Necessary”, “Stop Underestimating
Grexit Risks" – ZH
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Improvements
in the euro area credit conditions should not be ignored – Sober
Look
Quantitative
easing on its own will not save the eurozone – it must start more aggressive
policy and price-level targeting, says Scott Sumner
UNITED STATES
Only
raise US rates when whites of inflation’s eyes are visible – FT
Lawrence Summers: Aborting recovery and risking a
further slowing of price rises is potentially catastrophic
ASIA
China's
trade performance slumped in January, with exports falling 3.3 percent from
year-ago levels while imports tumbled 19.9 percent, far worse than analysts had
expected and highlighting deepening weakness in the Chinese economy.
China's imports slump, capping dismal
January trade performance – Reuters
China's imports drop 20% explaining PBoC
action – Sober
Look
China’s policy dilemma deepens on record
trade surplus – FT
REGULARS
Daily
Central Banks – WSJ
Hilsenrath’s
Take: The Fed’s Republican Tries Talking Republicans Out of “Audit the Fed” * Fed’s
Rate Dilemma: Job Gains vs. Low Inflation * Jobs Data Boosts Odds the Fed Could
Lose Patience in March * Fed’s Plosser Says It’s Getting Hard to Justify Not
Raising Rates * Fed’s Lockhart Eyes June or Later Rate Rise
Daily
Macro – WSJ
Another
day, another Greek drama * Evidence that China’s competitiveness is suffering
from a strengthening dollar - temptation to restore growth through an
aggressive devaluation - irrespective of what spillover effects it might have
on world financial stability.
Danske
Daily – Danske
Bank
Eye-Opener – Nordea
Getting
harder for the Fed to stay on hold * Rates jump – beginning of the end? * FX
market pricing in super-soft Riksbank
Challenging
Monday – Marc to
Market
Daily
Shot: 'China watchers' wrong again – TradingFloor
The newest
data out of China show exports dropping fast and
imports dropping even faster. The question of Chinese demand, of course, has
global ramifications across markets, sectors and asset classes. Meanwhile, Denmark is struggling to maintain its
currency peg and Canadian housing data are looking very frothy.
US Open – ZH
Europe, US Risk Off After Greece Rejects European Ultimatum, Ukraine Peace Talks Falter
FX
Update: USD resurgence looks for confirmation this week– TradingFloor
Friday's US jobs report – as good as it gets * Jobs
report sets the scene for USD comeback * Greek government remains defiant on
debt
From the
floor – TradingFloor
Massive NFP
print puts dollar rally firmly "back on track", says Hardy * A break
of key resistance at 119.25 could propel USDJPY towards "125" * Poor
China trading data scuppers AUD * Pressure on EUR mounts as Greece, Ukraine crisis weigh * One-month EURUSD at
12.5% in Asia trading, despite
"illiquid" market
OTHER
Eight
Points on the Investment Climate and the Dollar – Marc
to Market
Central
Banks Move to Drive Down Currencies, Yielding Domino Effect – WSJ
Interest-Rate
Cuts, Asset Purchases Ricochet Through Foreign-Exchange Markets; ‘Unspoken
Currency War Has Broken Out’
Currency
wars and central bank credibility – FT
If everyone
is playing the same game, all we will end up with is more and higher FX
volatility.
HSBC
LEAKS
The
private-banking unit of HSBC Holdings Plc made significant profits for years
handling secret accounts for an array of criminals, from drug cartels and arms
dealers to tax evaders and fugitive diamond merchants
HSBC files
show how Swiss bank helped clients dodge taxes and hide millions – The
Guardian
Leaked HSBC
List Shows Who Was Banking on Swiss Secrecy – BB
Explore the Swiss Leaks Data – ICIJ
HSBC admits Swiss bank failings over client taxes – Reuters
FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Katseet Kreikassa ja euroaleen BKT-luvuissa | Perjantaina
julkistetut työmarkkinaluvut lisäävät painetta Fedille | Kiinan vienti oli
ennakoitua heikompaa
Vuoto: Suurpankin asiakkaina rikollisia laidasta laitaan
– MOT
/ YLE
KREIKKA
Alan Greenspan: eurolla ei tulevaisuutta ilman poliittista
liittoa – PS
USA:n keskuspankin ex-pääjohtaja: euroalue tuhoon tuomittu
– Juhani
Huopainen
Suomen laskennallinen tappio Kreikan tukilainoista 2,5
miljardia – PS
Euroopan totuuden hetki lähestyy – Henri
Myllyniemi / US
Kestääkö euro Syrizan politiikan? – Antti
Ronkainen
Kreikka: tilaisuus terveemmälle kriisipolitiikalle
euroalueella – Peter
Nyberg
EKP:n elvyttävä rahapolitiikka sopii Suomelle – Suomen
Pankki
Rahapolitiikka ei ratkaise rakenteellisia ongelmia mutta
kasvua tukevana se sopii Suomen taloustilanteeseen
Valtapoliitikot
hiipuivat hissuttelijoiksi – HS
Vaalikevät alkoi suurten puolueiden hissuttelulla, Unto
Hämäläinen kirjoittaa