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Monday, May 15

15th May - Bullish start of a quiet week



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EUROPE
Germany Will Lose if Macron Fails – Project Syndicate
Congratulations, President Macron – Now We Oppose You – Project Syndicate
France’s Anti-Populist Populist – Project Syndicate
Macron's Shared Eurozone Budget Won't Work - Right Idea, But It Won't Work – Forbes


OTHER
Macro Monday: Markets await China data dump – TF
Despite North Korean efforts to grab the limelight with a missile launch China is in the spotlight today with key data releases. Beijing has just concluded its landmark Belt and Road summit as well which puts Asia's top economy at the forefront of global efforts to boost trade and fight protectionism.

FX Weekly: Are China worries old hat? – Nordea
More fuel to the inflation convergence story after low core inflation from US Friday. The big question for Fed – will US core inflation head even lower? Moreover, will EA inflation also disappoint this month? And are China worries old news by now?

FX Forecast Update – Danske Bank
Cyclical risks surfacing as politics abate


REGULARS
Morning Report APAC – TF
Asian markets were lower at the start following North Korea's latest missile launch. The markets were also cautious following the weekend G7 meeting which outlined concerns over Trump's protectionist policies.

FirstFT – FT

WSJ City – WSJ

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
Weaker US inflation, focus on the Riksbank and UK CPI this week * US core CPI undershoots expectations again * Lower USD-rates and higher EUR/USD * What Schulz effect?

Morning Markets – TF
The energy ministers of Russia and Saudi Arabia have announced their intention to extend the current production cut deal with crude prices rising by 1.5% in both Brent and WTI and equity futures surging.

From the Floor – TF
Oil prices rallied when Saudi Arabia and Russia voiced support for extending Opec-led production cuts by nine months, to March 2018. But so far the oil price rally is mainly driven by short-covering, and new longs would be needed to drive it higher,

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Softer Dollar and Yen to Start the Week

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Merkron meeting — Schulz blow — UK insists on EU military veto

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

10 things you need to know before the opening bell – BI

US Open – ZH
Oil Surges After Saudis, Russians Agree To 9 Month OPEC Output Cut Extension; US Futures Flat

Frontrunning – ZH


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Riksbank rahapoliittisen keskustelun ytimessä * OPEC yrittää uudelleen * USA:n inflaatio jäi taas odotuksista * Kiinassa heikkoja tilastoja