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Monday, December 3

3rd Dec - Tired rally attempt


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EUROPE
Ferdinando Giugliano: The ECB’s Santa Claus Ain't Coming to Town – BB
With Europe’s economy faltering, there are still gifts that Mario Draghi could hand out this month. It’ll be a surprise if he reaches for them.

Editorial: How Safe Are Europe’s Banks? Right Now, It’s Hard to Tell – BB
The EU’s stress-testing rules aren’t strong enough.


OTHER
Jam-Packed Week Ahead – Marc Chandler

  CHINA
Goldman Sachs: Odds Of A Comprehensive Deal In 3 Months 20% – ZH

Tyler Cowen: Trump Deserves Some Credit for a Truce With China – BB
At least the two sides are talking instead of sweeping everything under the rug.

El-Erian: G-20 Gives Markets a Short-Term Win – BB
China and the U.S. reached an agreement to freeze trade tariffs for three months. But that’s about it.

US-China: Uncertainty will continue – Nordea
The US and China agreed to hold off new tariffs and continue negotiations in the coming months. However, there was not much more that they could agree upon and we see the initial market reaction slightly too optimistic for the outcome.

G20: Don’t cry victory yet – ING
The ceasefire between the world’s largest trading nations is positive because the signals coming from the preceding negotiations were rather pessimistic. The ceasefire means that the planned elevation of import tariffs by the US are off for the next three months. But there is a long way to go before there is a real deal

US and China reach tariff truce – Pictet
A temporary trade truce was agreed between US President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping at a dinner during the G20 meeting this weekend.

China Outlook 2019 – Stimulus offsets trade risks – ABN AMRO
2018 marks the resumption of China’s gradual slowdown driven by financial deleveraging and initial drags from trade conflict US * Trump and Xi Jinping agree on 90 day truce in Buenos Aires * Should downside pressures intensify, Beijing has more room for stimulus * Yuan weakness also cushions impact tariffs, but we expect some recovery * We expect China’s slowdown to remain gradual in 2019 and 2020 * Main risks: tensions with the US, other geopolitical risks, high debt levels


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Brussels Edition Daily – BB

Brussels Briefing – FT

Eco Day Europe – BB
Capital expenditure by Japanese companies returns to trend * U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May faces another grueling battle

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

WSJ Daily Economics – WSJ
U.S. and China Call a Trade Truce

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Italy showtime — How to watch German leadership race — Spain’s far right rises

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

Eco Day US – BB
Trump-Xi truce does little to bridge vast U.S.-China divide * Italian manufacturing shrinks as Asia feels trade war hit

US Open – ZH
World Stocks, US Futures, Crude Soar As Trump, Xi Deliver Early Christmas Rally

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
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