Google Analytics

Tuesday, December 18

18th Dec - US Close




Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter or Facebook 

Roundups and Commentary
Markets – Between The Hedges
The Closer – alphaville / FT

Roundup – Kiron Sarkar / The Big Picture
The T-Report: Long, Longer, Longest – TF Market Advisors 
Tomorrow’s Tape – WSJ

Morning Briefing (Asia) – BNY Mellon
US Summary – ZH 

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros

EUROPE
British politicians need to reclaim leadership over the UK’s EU membership debateeuropp / LSE

Euro zone rescuer Draghi faces daunting 2013Reuters
With two short sentences, the head of the European Central Bank took the heat out of the euro zone crisis this year. In 2013 Mario Draghi has to live up to even bigger expectations.

Why Mario Draghi scores AAA on PPPHugo Dixon / Reuters
The ECB boss, though, should not let the plaudits go to his head. Much of the euro zone is in deep recession. If growth doesn’t return, the crisis could enter a new ugly phase and his powers will be sorely tested.

Berlusconi says Italy may be forced to leave the euro zoneReuters

Spanish Bad Loans At New Record, Deteriorate At Fastest Pace Since JuneZH

How to Solve the European Economic Crisis: Challenging Orthodoxy and Creating New Policy ParadigmsEconoMonitor
The view, recently expressed, that abandoning fiscal austerity is now impossible is simply irrational, and wrong.

Surplus to Requirements?WSJ
The European Commission on Tuesday released a special report devoted to euro zone countries with large current account surpluses, Germany in primis, and while it diplomatically refrained from making forceful policy recommendations, it emphatically noted that the weak bank regulations and wage restraint exercised by Europe’s largest economy ineluctably has had significant impact on other members of the currency union.

Thoughts on the Euro’s Outlook in 2013PIIE
Despite the numerous predictions of its demise, the euro is alive and well at the end of 2012. Indeed, it has again held its value against other currencies during the year,1 confounding skeptics just as it did a year ago. As 2012 comes to a close and the last European Union Council of the year has ended—there have been seven in 2012!—it is time to take stock. As someone who ended 2011 on a positive note for the euro, I am happy to report that the outlook remains positive for 2013.

Is Europe standing on its head?Dagens Nyheter / presseurop
Born to give a political dimension to the common values ​​of Europeans, the Union, with the complicity of the member States, has acquired power and skills that have weakened the people it was supposed to defend.

Emerging Europe’s Deleveraging DilemmaProject Syndicate
Since 2011, the eurozone-based parent banks that dominate emerging Europe’s banking sector have been under pressure to deleverage – with potentially serious consequences for a fragile region. By ensuring orderly deleveraging, multilateral lenders and private banks can help to put emerging Europe on a more sustainable growth path.

UNITED STATES
American growth vs. the world: At the top of an underperforming class The Economist

  FISCAL CLIFF
Five sticking points in the fiscal cliff deal – Wonkblog / WP
Obama's new fiscal cliff offer would repeal the 'doc-fix' – Wonkblog / WP
The 'fiscal cliff' deal could hurt the economy – Wonkblog / WP

  HOUSING DATA
Housing: Inventory down 24% year-over-year in mid-December – Calculated Risk
Builder Confidence increases in December, Highest since April 2006 – Calculated Risk
NAHB Builder Sentiment Soars To Highest Since 2006 Thanks To Sandy – ZH
NAHB Sentiment Index Hits Six and a Half Year High – Bespoke

  MARKETS
S&P 500 Valuation – Dr. Ed’s Blog
From Risk On/Risk Off To Reality On/Reality Off – ZH
Deja Vu All Over Again – ZH
Sector Snapshot – Bespoke

ASIA
The Economics of Japan’s Lost DecadePragCap
Older ING piece: Japan’s sectoral balances and the lack of impact of monetary policy and increasing central bank balance sheets

OTHER
361 Capital Weekly Research BriefingThe Reformed Broker

Some outliers for 2013alphaville / FT
Deutsche just sent through its list of outliers for 2013

EM Bond Snapshot Dec-2012Danske Bank (pdf)

IN FINNISH
Komissio: Ruotsi ei ole hyötynyt kelluvasta kruunustaHS
Espanjan pankkikriisin uusimmat luvuteuroetana
(molemmista enemmän ylempänä englanniksi. Hesari taas ”yllätti” löytämällä mm. Saksaa tylyttävästä raportista sivulauseen vääriymmärryksen, että Pentikäinen sai sen euro on hienoa-fiiliksensä. Hyvä Pentikäinen, go Hesari!)



Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter or Facebook