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Wednesday, February 6

6th Feb - EU Open





Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers to Watch: DE new ind. orders, CA Ivey PMI, US Oil Inv.TradingFloor
New industrial orders in Germany are expected to rebound and so is Canada’s Ivey Purchasing Managers Index. Crude oil prices, however, may be subject to more bearish sentiment if weekly inventories post another rise in today’s weekly update.

Market Preview: Focus on German factory orders TradingFloor
European markets are expected to open mostly flat on Wednesday. Markets will keep an eye on German factory orders and a slew of corporate releases across Europe and the US. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan governor said he would retire a few weeks early.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Bank of Japan governor Masaaki Shirakawa will step down early. This has boosted Japanese shares and sent  the yen to a three-year low as the markets price in that  the new governor will be more dovish than Shirakawa. The US stock markets saw gains around 1% in yesterday’s trading as risk appetite returned after some market jitters on Tuesday. Market movers today:  The positive sentiment looks set to carry over to the European equity markets. For now the markets are not worrying about Italian elections or corruption allegations in Spain.

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)
Tänään oli tuloskauden yksi vilkkaimpia päiviä. Kokonaisuutena tulokset olivat tänään hieman pehmeitä. Markkinan suunta: Markkinoilla nähtiin ostopaikka maanantain laskun jälkeen, tunnelmaa tukivat palvelualojen ostopäällikköindeksit. Osakefutuurit nollassa  - indikoiden tasaista avausta pörssiin. 4Q12 tuloksia: Citycon, Elisa, Martela, Nokian Renkaat, Pohjola, Pöyry, Rapala, Tieto.

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat


EUROPE
Europe's WTF ChartZH
Expectations for earnings growth in Europe have massively disconnected from macro fundamentals (just as in the US)

ECB previewDanske Bank (pdf)
Draghi likely to stick to verbal intervention

Bank of England previewDanske Bank (pdf)
Waiting for Carney

A New Idea for Restructuring European DebtCFR
If you are interested in the frontier thinking of European debt restructuring, you need to read the latest from Buchheit, Gulati, and Tirado.  In it, they propose an amendment to the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) that would make future European restructurings easier by strictly limiting the rights of holdout creditors.

OTHER
Currency Wars Heat Up: Hollande Proposes target for Euro; US Carmakers Want Obama to Punish Japan; Warnings From China, Russia; Sheer MadnessMish’s

IN FINNISH
Navigaattori – ”Valuuttasota” vaimentaa euroalueen elpymistäNordea (pdf)
muita aiheita: Valuutta virtaa ulos turvasatamista * Onko korkojen nousu vakaalla pohjalla? * Hyödykeriskiltä suojautuminen

Viikkokatsaus 4.2.2013 – EKP pysyy sivulinjoilla ”valuuttasodassa”Nordea (pdf)
Euroalueen luottamus jatkoi edelleen nousussa viime viikolla * USA:n luvut eivät muuttaneet kuvaan kasvun jatkumisesta * EKP:n ei odoteta osoittavan huolestuneisuuttaan euron vahvuudesta * Bank of Englandilta ei ole toistaiseksi syytä uusiin tukitoimiin

”Valuuttasodassa” olisi vain voittajiaNordea
Roger Wessman: Euroalueen kansalaisten on turha valittaa, että olemme ilkeämielisen hyökkäyksen kohteena



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