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EUROPE
Should the blind lead the blind? – Peter
Nyberg
If nobody can be
expected to credibly prevent a crisis, things should at least be arranged in a
manner that minimizes costs to society when a crisis strikes. This would
require markedly stricter constraints on financial markets structures than have
so far been considered.
Are we about to get a new ”euro spasm”? – Lars
Christensen
EUROPEAN
CENTRAL BANK
Mere criticism of the ECB is no solution – Bruegel
What would happen if the
ECB failed to respond to the excessively low inflation and the weak economy?
And what economic policy would be suitable under the current circumstances, if
not monetary policy?
Schaeuble vs Draghi – Reuters
ECB Scrambles To Calm A Furious Germany:
"Helicopter Money Was The Straw That Broke The Camel's Back" – ZH
German Finance Minister Disagrees with ECB but
Says Its Political Independence Is Vital – WSJ
Schäuble says central
bank is half responsible for rise of far-right political party
UNITED STATES
Ben Bernanke: What tools does the Fed have
left? Part 3: Helicopter money – Brookings
Welcome back, Helicopter
Ben – FT
Bernanke: "Helicopter Money May Be The Best
Available Alternative"
– ZH
OTHER
Same Drivers, Different Direction – Marc Chandler
IMF supports move to
negative rates by some central banks – Reuters
Is the Dollar Bottoming against the Yen? – Marc
Chandler
Deutsche Bank: World Past The Point Of No Return
In The Default Cycle – ZH
REGULARS
Higher oil prices support NOK;
USD/JPY at 18-month low; busy week ahead * Chinese data, BoE meeting, Fed
speeches and CPI prints to dominate this week * Oil prices close to
year-to-date high * USD/JPY at new 18-month low
The yen's ferocious push against the
dollar has already reduced to irrelevance some of the pronouncements on the
strength of the currency last week but even as the Bank of Japan surveys its
options what can it actually do?
Daily Market Comment –
Marc
Chandler
Sterling Shines Temporarily in
Choppy Start for Foreign Exchange
A look at term premia
Daily Shot – TF
The release of US
wholesale inventories data for February along with several labour force prints
has moved consensus forecasts for the country's Q1 GDP distinctly lower.
Daily Press Summary – Open
Europe
Schäuble suggests ECB is
partly to blame for rise of populist AfD in Germany * Italian government seeks
to finalise €5bn bank rescue fund * Spain wants one extra year to bring public
deficit in line with EU rules * Schäuble: Solution for Greece will be found “in
the coming weeks”, but without debt relief * Thousands of unaccompanied child
refugees disappear in Germany
Brussels Playbook – Politico
TTIPping point —
Oettinger’s mini-Davos — Panama papers
US Open – ZH
U.S. Futures Jump In Tandem With
Soaring Italian Banks On Hopes Of Government Bailout
Frontrunning – ZH
EURUSD was bottled up in
a tight range last week and looks to test higher after every minor dip was
scooped up last week. Elsewhere the JPY remains the market’s prime mover as
Japan’s verbal intervention gets more serious and specific.
After a sharp rebound in
oil prices on Friday the global crude oil markets face another big week with
eyes on a producer country meeting in Doha at the weekend and fresh inventory
data from the US. In Asia the strength of the Japanese yen and weakness of the
US dollar is the theme of the day and the greenback is hit also against other
Asian currencies.
FINNISH
USA:n
inflaatio polki paikoillaan maaliskuussa * Raaka-ainevaluutat olivat
myötätuulessa perjantaina * Markkinoiden riskisentimentti oli perjantaina
vahvaa *Kiinan vaikeudet jatkuvat - tällä viikolla luvassa useita
datajulkistuksia
Sokeat sokeiden valvojiksi? – Peter
Nyberg
Jos
finanssikriisin luotettavaa estäjää ei löydy, tulisi edes järjestää asiat niin,
että kriisien kansantaloudelliset seuraamukset olisivat mahdollisimman
vähäiset. Tämä edellyttäisi merkittävästi tiukempia rajoituksia
rahoitusmarkkinoiden rakenteeseen kuin tähän saakka on haluttu toteuttaa.
Euroalueen heikko happi ja
utopia Fixitistä – YLE
Ekonomistit: Euroalueesta
on vaikeaa saada menestystarinaa – Suomen
Uutiset
Massiivisen
velkataakan niskoilleen hankkineelle Italialle esitetään roskapankkia, EKP
arvioi ”helikopterirahoitusta” ja Britannia pohtii EU-eroa. Euroopan ja euron
vaikeaa tilannetta arvioivat Yle Politiikkaradiossa Nordean pääekonomisti Aki
Kangasharju ja valtiotieteen tohtori Heikki Koskenkylä.