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Wednesday, March 15

15th Mar - Fed's dovish hike, populists don't win






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EUROPE
Dutch Exit Polls: Prime Minister Rutte Top, Defeating Wilders Freedom Party – ZH


UNITED STATES
Debt limit suspension expires – Danske Bank

  FEDERAL RESERVE
FOMC preview – please hike, but be careful going forward –
Lars Christensen
Here Are The Five Main Things To Watch At Today's Fed Meeting – ZH
Press release – FED
Economic Projections – FED
Fed Hikes Rates For 3rd Time In 11 Years – ZH
Stocks, Bonds, & Bullion Surge As Fed Hike Sparks Dollar Dump – ZH
See Markets React to the Fed in 8 Charts – WSJ
How the March Statement Changed from February – WSJ
Dot Plot Indicates Fed in No Hurry – WSJ
Dovish Fed rate hike – FOMC review – Nordea
Rate Hike Hammers Dollar; Stocks, Bonds, & Bullion Soar – ZH
Fed says it is on track, not more hawkish – Danske Bank


OTHER
Jens Weidmann: "The G20 Agenda under the German Presidency" – BIS

Our economic machine is lubricated and fuelled by debt — and therefore credit, for the lack of a better word, is good – Jussi Lindgren


REGULARS
Morning Report APACTF
Asian equities opened lower on Wednesday morning following losses on Wall St overnight as traders await the rates decision from the Fed. Meanwhile Saudi Arabia told Opec it raised output back above 10 million barrels/day in February.

FirstFTFT
Dutch election expected to be extremely close, five things to watch as oil prices fall, and Malaysian backlash to ‘gay moment’ in Disney film

WSJ CityWSJ
Dutch Head to Polls, Pound Straining, Trump Tax Return Leaked

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eye-OpenerNordea
Dutch election today and Fed rate hike tonight * Volatility to return to markets on today’s events? * Bunds briefly touched 50bp, US rates lower while waiting for Fed * The GBP fell on PM May got the go-ahead trigger article 50

Morning MarketsTF
The much anticipated day has finally arrived: later today the Fed will announce whether it's raising rates. The expected hike will point to stronger economic growth in the US. Janet Yellen's speech will attract close scrutiny to see what clues she gives on forward guidance.

From the FloorTF
Today sees the FOMC up with a meeting and a near-certain rate hike, with investiors focusing on the statement and the dot plot forecast. Meanwhile, crude oil volatility remains elevated into today's EIA report, with the commodity serving as a key driver for stocks.

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Greenback Softens Ahead of FOMC

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Dutch vote — 2018 EU budget — Poland’s suicide mission

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

10 things you need to know before the opening bellBI

US OpenZH
S&P Futures, Global Stocks Rise Ahead Of The Fed; Oil Rebounds

FrontrunningZH

FX Update TF
The immediate focus is on the Fed and the degree to which dot plot shifts from the December meeting match market expectations. But we also have a key sentiment test for the euro on the Dutch election results and then four more central bank meetings tomorrow.


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Hollannista käynnistyy Euroopan testivuosi * Odotamme Fedin nostavan ohjauskorkoa 25 korkopisteellä * Öljyn hinta palautui hieman Saudi-Arabian energiaministerin lausunnon myötä * Ruotsin helmikuun inflaatio (CPIF) ylsi 2 prosentin tavoitteeseen

Olisiko euroero kannattava?Peter Nyberg