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Monday, March 26

26th Mar - Dip and Reverse

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A Central Fiscal Stabilization Capacity for the Euro AreaIMF
A macroeconomic stabilization fund financed by annual contributions from countries used to build up assets in good times and make transfers to countries in bad times, as well as a borrowing capacity in case large or persistent shocks exhaust the fund’s assets.

A Compass to Prosperity: The Next Steps of Euro Area Economic IntegrationIMF

Inside the Secret Plot to Reverse BrexitBB
For the first time, a group of rebels is going public with its plan to derail Britain’s decision to leave the EU.

Germany wants to make Trump a trade offer he can’t refuseHandelsblatt
Germany's new economics minister wants to offer concessions to Washington by cutting European car-import tariffs. But the rest of the EU isn’t so sure about the deal.

How far from EU admission standards are western Balkan states?FT
Region is poorer than bloc’s members but there is time to make up some of the GDP per capita gap

U.S. Recession May Come Just in Time for Trump’s Re-Election BidBB
2020 is an economic ‘inflection point,’ Zandi of Moody’s says * Fading fiscal stimulus, rising interest rates seen as risks

Trump Tightens Screws on Putin But Says He Wants to Get AlongBB
President likely to expel Russian diplomats on Monday * Move would align Trump with European allies critical of Putin


Dow Soars 500 Points, Erases Friday's Drop – ZH
Dow Jumps Most In 30 Months, Dollar Dives, Cryptos Crash As Bonds Barely Budge – ZH

JPMorgan: "We See Risk Of Institutional Capitulation"

Morgan Stanley: "We Can Already See The Writing On The Wall"

Deutsche: "We Are Entering An Environment Where Everything Wants To Sell Off"

This Is What It Sounds Like...When the Regime Dies Macro Man

This Cycle Will End – The Simple Math Of Forward Returns Lance Roberts

Aaron Brown: Stocks Will Need More Than GDP Growth to Prosper BB
Equities have become disconnected from fundamentals.

Higher volatility does not have to equal lower stocksKevin Muir

Facebook Plunges After FTC Probe, German Sanctions Headlines – ZH
Facebook Hits 8-Month Lows, Ignores Market Rebound – ZH

BlackRock bets on algorithms to beat the fund managersFT
Larry Fink’s firm hopes to build a ‘quant’ powerhouse through its active equities arm

Matthew Levine: Hardworking Hedge Funds Might Have the Upper Hand
Funds that accessed Edgar filings performed better than ones that didn't, but the data isn't so clear-cut.

FT Collections: Rethinking macroeconomicsFT

Kim Jong Un Is Making a Surprise China Visit, Sources Say BB
First trip outside isolated state since taking power in 2011 * Mysterious move comes weeks after Trump agreed to meet Kim

Trump Wanted a Trade War. Here's What One Looks LikeBB

Training not tariffs: How to protect US free trade victimsING
Instead of unleashing a trade war against China and criticising European trade policies, US workers would be better off if Trump adopted European-style labour policies

China Signals It Could Ease Treasury Purchases to Counter TrumpBB
Nation “looking at all options,” ambassador to U.S. says * Beijing had been considering scaling back Treasury holdings

China to Intervene in Stocks After Tariffs Trigger Rout BB

China: losing patience on US trade protectionismING
China has sent a strong message by announcing its own tariffs following the latest US$60bn tariff plan from Washington. What are the implications?

Trump Veers Into Uncharted Trade Territory as China Waits
Investors await details of China tariffs and levies on steel * Analyst sees a ‘huge amount of uncertainty’ over next steps

Fears of Trade Wars and Other WarsRay Dalio

China steps up effort to avert US trade war –
U.S., China Quietly Seek Trade Solutions After Days of Loud Threats –
US, China Said To Near Deal To Avert "Tit-For-Tat" Trade War – ZH
Mnuchin ‘Hopeful’ Truce Can Be Reached With China on Trade – BB
China urges WTO members: put U.S. tariff 'beast back in the cage' – Reuters
U.S. seeks China trade moves on autos, financials, chips: source – Reuters
China's premier pledges market opening in bid to avert U.S. trade war – Reuters

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT
Stormy 60 Minutes, Uber quits SE Asia, orange snow

U.S. and China Quietly Seek Trade Solutions, Can Markets Handle a Trio of Negative Forces?

WSJ EconomicsWSJ
China Tariffs | Korea Trade Pact | New York Fed Prez | Health Insurance Subsidies

“Best of the web” daily chartsLukas Daalder

Danske Daily Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment Marc Chandler
Equity Meltdown Aborted, Dollar Eases

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Commission’s take out the trash day — UK’s plan for Irish border — Trump’s Stormy Sunday

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

S&P Futures Soar, Global Stocks Rebound As Trade War "Perfect Storm" Fears Fade

Aamukatsaus Nordea
Tiistaina saadaan luottamuslukuja Ruotsista ja Suomesta | Torstaina vuorossa ovat Saksan ja USA:n inflaatioluvut | Maanantai on datarintamalla hiljainen päivä

Aamukatsaus Danske Bank