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Wednesday, May 2

2nd May - Bad European macro, EURUSD down




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EUROPE
EU Regional Aid Set to Shrink Under Plan Rebuked by East Members – BB
European Commission seeks changes to aid eligibility criteria * Post-Brexit EU budget proposal includes link to rule of law

Private and public risk sharing in the euro area – ECB

  DATA
Euro-Area Factory Growth Eases for Fourth Straight Month – BB
Euro-Area Factories Fret About Euro as Economic Growth Cools – BB
GDP up by 0.4% in both the euro area and the EU28 – Eurostat
Euro area unemployment at 8.5% - Eurostat
Euro area growth: somewhere between hard and soft data – Pictet
Eurozone Economy Wavers in First Quarter - WSJ


UNITED STATES
Build It and They Will Come; Sell it and It will be Bought – Marc Chandler
What happens when a large serving of fiscal stimulus is provided to an economy that as already growing above trend, with nearly full employment and price pressures near target?

Deutsche Bank warns of US debt crisis – John Cochrane

  DATA
US manufacturing growth - slower but broader – ING
ADP: Private Employment increased 204,000 in April – Bill McBride
Payroll Gains in U.S. Exceed 200,000 for Fifth Month, ADP Says – BB
ADP Prints Weakest Jobs Gain Since November – ZH

  FEDERAL RESERVE
Federal Reserve preview: Take a deep breath – ING
Buy the hawkish Fed rumour, sell the gradual fact – ING
Markets Are Underestimating the Fed – BB

FOMC Statement – FED
FOMC Sticks to Script, Dollar Pushed Lower – Marc Chandler
Rate Unchanged: Leans Hawkish On Inflation, Dovish On Growth – ZH
Wall Street Responds To The Fed's "Symmetric", Dovish Statement – ZH
Powell has a plan – Kevin Muir


MARKETS / OTHER
Market Stumbles Show Traders Already Think We're Late-Cycle – BB
Morgan Stanley predicts ‘choppy, volatile down market’ * Cantor Fitzgerald cautions not to get bearish too early

Have Central Banks Missed the Exit Train? – Algebris

Strong And Stable, Valuations Edition – Macro Man

From carry trades to curvy trades – ECB


REGULARS
FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT
Galileo sabotage, Facebook’s dating service, Germany’s inheritance wave

WSJ City – WSJ
Trump’s Trade Agenda Brings Heightened Tensions, Apple Flexes Its Financial Muscles

WSJ Economics – WSJ
Europe stumbles | Share Buybacks |Trade Deadlines

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Confident Fed Key to New Found Respect for the Dollar

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Budget scoop — Inconvenient truths — Europe risks split over Trump
           
Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

US Open – ZH
S&P Futures Hit Session HIghs Ahead Of The Fed, As Dollar Surge Fizzles


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Fed kokoustaa illalla, mutta ei nosta korkoa | Euroalueelta julkaistaan BKT-luvut | Dollari vahvistui selvästi euroa vastaan

Brysselin kone: Miksi pankkiunioni on nyt mätä omena – YLE
Nordean pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich puhuu siitä millä tavoilla pankkiunioni vaikuttaa nyt ongelmalliselta. Ja lisäksi hän kertoo, missä kunnossa on EU-maiden talous hänen mielestään nyt on, ja onko EKP:llä nyt harjoittamansa politiikan jälkeen silloin jäljellä mitään keinoja toimia, kun hänen arvionsa mukaan kesällä 2021 seuraava taantuma rantautuu Eurooppaan. Ohjelman toimittaja on Maija Elonheimo