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Monday, March 4

4th Mar - Quiet #4036


EUROPE
Deutsche and Commerzbank: why Berlin is backing a merger – FT
Rumoured for a decade, the move to combine Germany’s two largest banks now has political backing

China gains the upper hand over Germany – FT
Berlin is paying for its political choices on public sector debt reduction

The ECB Is Speaking With Too Many Voices – BB
It’s hard to get a clear sense of how the bank will manage the slowdown in Europe. The euro zone needs to identify Mario Draghi’s successor quickly.

ECB Preview – ABN AMRO
Signal of longer period of unchanged rates and hint at TLTRO

Estonia Reform Set to Return to Power as Populists Sidelined – BB


UNITED STATES
Noah Smith: Trump Should Take Aim at China’s Joint-Venture Rule – BB
The partnerships required to do business in the country are a cover for stealing U.S. know-how.

Kenneth Rogoff: Modern Monetary Nonsense – Project Syndicate
A number of leading progressive US politicians advocate using the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to fund expansive new government programs. Although their arguments have a grain of truth, they also rest on some fundamental misconceptions, and could have unpredictable and potentially serious consequences.


OTHER
China and India Stumble Into Monetary Leadership – BB
As the world's central banks turn dovish, Beijing and New Delhi stand out for taking action. Yet few economists see imminent steps elsewhere.


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day Asia – BB

Eco Day Asia – BB
U.S.-China Deal, Dollar Strength, Aussie Credit Squeeze * Japan inflation barometer suggests zero price growth by summer * New normal for Europe’s central bankers: getting kicked around

Five Things to Start Your Day Europe – BB

EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Brussels Briefing – FT
The antitrust overhaul: Margrethe Vestager warns that any revamp will have consequences for the bloc and beyond

Brussels Edition – BB
Carbon split

Brussels Playbook – Politico
EU’s diplomacy bounces back in Washington — Estonia’s opposition wins election — Orbán on a limb

Danske Daily – Danske Bank
US-China trade deal edging closer

Eco Day Europe – BB
Europe Central Banks Under Fire, U.S.-China, Asia PMIs * Political pressure on monetary policy rises across continent * U.S., China move closer to a deal, China holds political meet

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler

Five Things to Start Your Day US – BB

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

US Open – ZH
Groundhog Day As Markets Rise On "Trade Talk Optimism"; Dollar Jumps Despite Trump Threat

Eco Day US – BB
U.S.-China Trade Deal, Powell vs MMT, Trashing the Fed * U.S., China are nearing deal that could end most U.S. tariffs * Trump using Fed, strong dollar complaints to stir voter base


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Tulevalla viikolla EKP on kokousvuorossa, lisäksi USA:sta saadaan työmarkkinatilastoa | USA:n teollisuuden luottamus laski odotuksia enemmän, euroalueen hintapaineet yhä vähäisiä | Julkaisimme uudet valuutta- ja korkoennusteemme