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Saturday, September 14

14th Sep - Weekly Previews #4167


Take Five: World markets themes for the week aheadReuters
The Fed meets and Trump tweets * Super Thursday: Japan, Norway, Britain, Switzerland central bank meetings * Trade war reconciliation and relocation * Brexit battles * Easier monetary policy turns emerging markets attractive

Key events in developed markets next weekING
An exciting week ahead in the aftermath of the ECB meeting with not one but four central bank meetings. Expect the Fed to steal the spotlight, but the focus will quickly shift to the British, Japanese and Norwegian central bank meeting on Thursday

Global Week AheadScotiabank
The Federal Reserve’s latest policy decisions and particularly its refreshed guidance will be the main event by far. The rest of the week’s line-up of macro reports should offer limited market risk. Wild card risks include possible clarity toward next steps on Iran that oil markets will continue to follow closely in the wake of John Bolton’s departure from the administration. Possible momentum toward an interim deal with China on trade policy will also be monitored.

Week AheadNordea
Open-ended QE = QE-ternity * The inflation target is apparently 1.5% in Sweden * Time for Powell to catch up!

Weekly FocusDanske Bank
Fed to cut by 25bp without pre-committing to more cuts * BoJ and BoE not expected to change policy * Low-level trade talks between the US and China ahead of the formal meeting in early October * UK Supreme Court hearing on whether PM Boris Johnson's prorogation of Parliament was unlawful begins (it is not clear whether the ruling will also be on Tuesday).

Macro WeeklyABN AMRO
Divergence in European industry * US and China back to serious negotiations? * Higher US core inflation largely due to medical costs * President Trump continues attack of the Fed * ECB eases

China WeeklyDanske Bank
Trump's tariff delay improves conditions for October trade talks, but the hurdles to reach a trade deal remain * Chinese stocks rallied again on easing trade tensions and policy stimulus. USD/CNY stabilised just above 7.10. We expect it to stay here for some time. * PPI moves further into deflation territory but does not signal a hard landing. A cut in the RRR rate signals more efforts to sustain growth at a minimum of 6.0%.