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Wednesday, November 28

28th Nov - EU Open




Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups
News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

Reference
Debt crisis live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
Economic Calendar – Forexpros


MORNING BRIEFINGS
3 Numbers To Watch: ECB Money Supply, DE CPI, US New Home SalesSaxo Bank
Will ECB monetary policy evolve to combat recession? Today's news on euro zone money supply drops a clue. Meantime, Germany's inflation profile measures austerity's pinch and a report on US home sales updates the trend for the real estate revival.

Market Preview: Focus on German CPI dataSaxo Bank
European markets are expected to open in the red Wednesday amid persistent concerns about the US fiscal cliff negotiations and worries about the recent Greek aid deal. Meanwhile, markets are keeping an eye on German CPI data due later today.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Key news: Greek plan for debt reduction lifted sentiment in Europe yesterday, despite several
unresolved challenges. US equities were dragged down by concerns over the looming US fiscal cliff. US Treasuries saw sustained demand and were also supported by a strong auction. In the FX market JPY gained the upper hand while SEK suffered.

Aamukatsaus – Nordea (pdf)

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)
Vahva makrodata USA:sta ei riittänyt nostamaan markkinaa, kun poliitikkojen kommentit USA:n budjettikiistasta painoivat vaakakupissa enemmän. Talvivaara päivitti tuotantotavoitteitaan, keskittyy kassavirran maksimoimiseen. Osakefutuurit miinuksella, indikoiden laskuavausta. EKP:n löysän rahan politiikka -> tuottoa inflaation ja verojen jälkeen vaikea löytää: Rahoille tuottoa hyväksymällä riskiä (high yield bondit tai osakkeet). Suomen osakemarkkinan hinnoittelu  poikkeuksellisen edullinen suhteessa valtiolainaan.

MarkkinakalenteriNordnet
MarkkinakalenteriTaloussanomat


EUROPE
The eurozone’s double-dip recession is entirely self-madeeuropp / LSE

"According to the documents, under the Monday deal Greece’s debt load would only come down to 115 per..."alphaville / FT

UNITED STATES
NY Fed: Household De-leveraging Continued in Q3PragCap

Six Charts To Summarize The NY Fed's Un-Deleveraging ReportZH

What Does it Mean for Fiscal Policy to be “Sustainable”? Ed Dolan
As negotiations over fiscal policy heat up, one thing nearly everyone agrees on is that U.S. fiscal policy should be sustainable. The trouble is, there are sharp disagreements about just what sustainability means. This post explores three different meanings of fiscal policy sustainability and explores their significance for current budget debates.

ASIA
Is China Over-Investing and Does it Matter?IMF
Because its investment is predominantly financed by domestic savings, a crisis appears unlikely when assessed against dependency on external funding. But this does not mean that the cost is absent. Rather, it is distributed to other sectors of the economy through a hidden transfer of resources, estimated at an average of 4 percent of GDP per year.

Indebted DragonForeign Affairs
The Risky Strategy Behind China's Construction Economy

What to Read on Chinese PoliticsForeign Affairs

Chinese equities: drawing punters backbeyondbrics / FT



China’s woeful stockmarketalphaville / FT

Yen weak on fundamentals but could become a crowded shortSober Look

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