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Wednesday, October 5

5th Oct Early - Bank recap rumors


Source: Bespoke
Summary: I’m heading for a job interview in 30 minutes, so no summaries of the links this morning. Last night a guest post by Stratfor, Is Noyer high? getting record views. Another update coming after the European close. If you want a view, deep search or quant work on some topic for free, contact me and spread the word, I'm trying to gain street cred here. Feedback is always appreciated, leave a comment, follow me on Twitter and Facebook, or email me. Buy Aaron Brown's book – and buy another as a gift to me.

Today's Headlines (from Tue)Between The Hedges
Wednesday Watch (from Tue evening) – Between The Hedges
FX options: Vols, Risk Reversals & Pin Risk – tradingfloor
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
Eurozone crisis: live blogFT
Bloomberg, CNBC etc. television on the web: Livestation



EURO CRISIS
Magical ThinkingThe Street Light
Source: Bespoke

What do the EU's finance ministers think will be different one month from now?


Europe - Political Fabrications Instead Of Economic RealitiesZH
Peter Tchir: The latest EFSF “collateral” package shows once again, just how wrong Europe has it…Dreams of Eurobonds…Fantasies of EFSF leverage.

The Euro Zone’s Five ThreatsThe Source / WSJ
Delayed tranche, revisiting bailout II, revisiting EFSF, more pain, Greek pushback.

Europe’s web of revenuealphaville / FT
Select slides from Morgan Stanley’s Global Exposure Guide

Moody’s Downgrades Italy By Three Notches – MarketBeat / WSJ

GREECE
The Greek collateral grab — looking a bit bond swapalphaville / FT

Beginning of the end is near for Greek dramaThe Big Picture

Unrest spreads to military as retired Greek officers storm defence ministryeuobserver.com

Europe: Aid to Greece Delayed Calculated Risk

Greece: Cuts in Public Sector Jobs Is a One-Way Road to RecoveryThe Source / WSJ

FINANCIALS
Deutsche Bank Finds Risks in BRIC Banking System, European Sovereign Debt History Squared
Summary and full scribd link to DB’s research piece

Rise of the central execution deskalphaville / FT

All For One, And One For All... ZH
Peter Tchir on Dexia and other European banks

CDS as omens of impending doom: starring Morgan Stanleyalphaville / FT

Morgan Tries to Quell Rumors About Its HoldingsDealBook / NYT

Ka-Pow! Deutsche hit by the VAT manalphaville / FT

UBS flatters to deceivealphaville / FT

Banks in Europe Face Huge Losses From GreeceDealBook / NYT

Regulator Seeks Oversight of ‘Cheetah’ Traders DealBook / NYT

DEXIA
As Predicted On Friday, Dexia CDS Rips And Stock Implodes On Partial NationalizationZH
Includes lengthy commentary from Nomura: 

Is the Dexia mess the start of a new financial crisis?The Curious Capitalist / TIME

Dexia: Here’s Why It MattersMarketBeat / WSJ
PIIGS debt and too little capital. 518 billion of assets, bailed out by taxpayers in 2008.

France and Belgium to Guarantee DexiaDealBook

Dexia garantie (encore)alphaville / FT

Dexia en chute encore, encorealphaville / FT

(Non) News Of Dexia "Bad Bank" Sends Market SoaringZH

Greek crisis close to claiming first victim in EU banking sectoreuobserver.com

FINANCIAL CRISIS
Buy back Tuesday?Macro Man

Hayman Capital’s Kyle Bass says “Buy Guns and Gold”HistorySquared

CHINA
Bank Of America Charts The Four "Crash Landing" Systemic Endgames For ChinaZH
Underground lending, property downturn, bad debt/bank recapitalization, hot money outflows.  Scribd-link to full document.

China: the systematic risksBank of America Merrill Lynch
Full scribd-link to the 42-page research report from 22nd Sep

Bank Of America Charts The Four "Crash Landing" Systemic Endgames For ChinaZH

US-China: don’t fear a trade war (yet)beyondbrics / FT

Hard Landing Is The Central Case, But…Also Sprach Analyst

Chinese Investment AbroadChartPorn

OTHER
Turnkey Research DigestTurnkey Analyst
Summaries of recent “alpha-generating” research papers.

What Occupy DC wants: Less corporate money in politics – WP
Who are the 99 percent?WP
Protesters Drawing Labor SupportWSJ