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Thursday, October 6

6th Oct Early: Stress @ Home

Summary: ECB coming up. Notice the do-it-yourself stress test calculator to the right. Shorter linkfest today, if something special happens, I’ll post another around the U.S. close. Previously I posted a separate linkfest on Steve Jobs and on ECB/Trichet

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News: Thursday Watch (Wed evening) – Between The Hedges
Click this text for the interactive "Stress Test @ Home"
FX options: Vols, Risk Reversals & Pin Risk – tradingfloor

China wants consumerism, but ends up investing
ECB Press conference webcast 14:30 CET – ECB
Markets Live – alphaville FT
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
Eurozone crisis: live blog – FT
Debt crisis Live BlogThe Source / WSJ

HK prices detached from rent. Source
 The end of the beginning?alphaville / FT
EZ leaders have woken up, but where is the money going to come from? Banks need 100-260bn, of the 440 EFSF billions 100 committed to Ireland and Portugal and only 190bn left to support bond markets – which would last 22 weeks given the ECB’s purchase rate.

Special Report: A fight for the soul of the ECBReuters

Greek-Bailout Shenanigan: A User's Rough GuideWSJ

Discussion on Regional Economic Outlook for EuropeIMF
1h32m video of panel talk with Marco Buti / EC, Erik Berglof / EBRD, Julian Callow / Barclays, Daniel Gross / CEPS, Antonio Borges / IMF, Mark Gilbert / BB

Euro Compass Economics & FI 4Q – Unicredit (pdf)
CEE Quarterly Economics & FI – Unicredit (pdf)
CEE Economic Data – Unicredit (pdf)
CIS Monthly Monitor (Sep) – Deutsche Bank (pdf)

Le Figaro Discloses France Has Prepared An Emergency "Just In Case" Nationalization Plan For "2 Or 3" BanksZH

Wall St. United in Disdain for Dodd-Frank, but Split on the DetailsDealBook / NYT

Details Emerge on Draft of Volcker Rule ProposalDealBook / NYT
(=ban on proprietary trading by banks whose deposits are federally insured)

Commodities become more… benignalphaville / FT
BarCap’s research notes on commodity price vulnerability to a recession and comparison of return deviations from normality

Rebalancing Chinese Economy: That Almost Impossible Math Also Sprach Analyst
The drive to transform Chinese economy into consumption-driven model has so far failed. The response to the crisis has, given the drop in exports, to increase investments even further.

The SNB: in for a penny, in for a poundBNY Mellon
There has been speculation that the 1.20 floor would be raised to 1.25 or 1.30.

Occupy Wall Street
A tipping point for OWS – WP
Congressional Democrats embrace OWS – WP
Matt Stoller: The Anti-Politics of #OWS – naked capitalism