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Friday, June 1

1st June - US jobs, Trump tariff tantrum, Italian and Spanish calm




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EUROPE
Why Hungary and Poland Rattle Europe's Liberal Order: QuickTake – BB

Euro-Area Manufacturing Growth Slows to 15-Month Low in May
– BB

  DEUTSCHE BANK
Deutsche Bank CoCo Bonds Plunge, Shares Hit Record Low – Wolf Street
S&P Downgrades Deutsche Bank To BBB+ - ZH
Deutsche Bank Bonds Unfazed by Downgrade – WSJ

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Mario Draghi Should Steer Clear of Warm Prosecco – BB
As the ECB turns 20, inflation offers some reason to celebrate. But let’s not get carried away.

  SPAIN
Prime Minister Rajoy Ousted From Power; Sanchez New Prime Minister – ZH
Sanchez Topples Rajoy to Become Prime Minister: Spain Update – BB
Rajoy Falls, Paying Price for Generation of Corruption in Spain – BB

  ITALY
Italy buys back €500m of its debt amid political woes – FT
The Italian government has intervened in the market for its own bonds in an apparent bid to ease trading conditions after prices plunged and liquidity froze up amid political turmoil earlier this week.

CDS and redenomination – Markit

Goldman Sachs: "We Would Fade The Recent Rally In Italian Assets" – ZH

Italian politics: habemus deal – Pictet
Italy finally has a government, but its public finances are likely to be soon back in the spotlight.


UNITED STATES
  MAY PAYROLLS
223,000 Smashing Expectations; Jobless Rate Hits Historic Low As Wages Beat – ZH
May Jobs Report – The Numbers – WSJ
U.S. job growth surges, unemployment rate falls to 3.8 percent - Reuters
Greenback's Inability to Rally on Jobs Report is Noteworthy – Marc Chandler


OTHER
Perspectives June/July Issue – Pictet
With key economic and market shifts in prospect, PWM’s return expectations for the next 10 years contain a stark message: annual returns for all major asset classes could be considerably lower than they have been over the past two decades. 

  TARIFFS / TRUMP
Editorial: Countering Trump’s Aggression on Trade – BB
Canada, Mexico and the EU should avoid escalating a needless conflict.

Global: Trade war is on – Nordea
Trump’s decision to levy steel and aluminium tariffs on the EU, Canada and Mexico increases the risk of a bigger trade war. Against the background of a global economy already losing momentum, markets are vulnerable to all negative surprises.

Trump's Art of Unpredictability Starts to Backfire Overseas – BB
China, Japan, Germany complain over policy reversals * U.S. reliabililty to feature at Singapore security conference

Trump Appeasement Fails, So Trudeau Takes the Gloves Off – BB
Canadian PM fires back on steel, sees no U.S. ‘common sense’ * ‘We’ve all had just about enough of Donald Trump,’ Wynne says

U.S. allies hit back at Washington's steel, aluminum tariffs – Reuters
EU initiates WTO case against U.S. steel, aluminum tariffs: WTO official – Reuters
EU to take action against U.S., China at WTO, Juncker tells German media – Reuters


REGULARS
Market Briefing: Daily Markets Overview – Yardeni Research

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT
Italy breakthrough, Rajoy reckoning, Paris v Airbnb

WSJ City – WSJ
Businesses Sound Alarm on U.S. Tariffs, Coalition Deal Ends Italian Impasse

WSJ Economics – WSJ
Friends, Neighbors Prepare to Strike Back at U.S. Tariffs

“Best of the web” daily charts – Lukas Daalder

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Ironic Twists to End the Tumultuous Week

Brussels Playbook – Politico
It’s (trade) war — Will Italy Quitaly? — Rajoy there, matey

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

US Open – ZH
Futures, European Stocks Surge Celebrating New Spanish, Italian Governments As Payrolls Loom

Frontrunning – ZH


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus –  Nordea
USA:sta saadaan työmarkkinaraportti | Euroalueen toukokuun inflaatioluvut olivat vahvat | Trump määräsi EU:lle tuontitulleja