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Wednesday, July 25

25th Jul - US, EU trade deal


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EUROPE
Leonid Bershidsky: Russia’s Helsinki Narrative Hides an Inconvenient Truth – BB
Moscow’s campaign of innuendo makes both Trump and his opponents uncomfortable, but it shows Putin came out empty-handed.3

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
ECB: Whatever it took – in charts – Danske Bank

Marcus Ashworth: Draghi Needs a Pre-Beach Communications Cleanup – BB
The ECB’s message has got unstuck, and investors are paying for it.

Euro area lending dynamics in good shape – Pictet
The ECB’s M3 and credit report for June just published confirms that lending dynamics continue to be in a good shape in the euro area, boding well for private investment.


UNITED STATES
Twelve charts to watch for signs of the next U.S. downturn – Reuters
  
Yes, Russian Election Sabotage Helped Trump Win – BB
Republicans want you to think that meddling didn’t figure in the 2016 election result. Don’t.


OTHER
2018 External Sector Report – IMF
Tackling Global Imbalances amid Rising Trade Tensions

Facebook Shares Drop 20% Post-Market on Revenue Growth Forecast – BB

  US-EU TRADE TALKS
‘Tariffs Are the Greatest,’ Trump Tweets Before Juncker Meeting
– BB
Head of European Commission in Washington as trade war looms * President says U.S. is a ‘piggy bank’ that’s been robbed

Trump Says U.S., EU Must Cut All Tariffs Ahead of Key Talks – BB
EU chiefs meet Trump in last-ditch bid to prevent car levies * Europe prepares $20 billion retaliation if U.S. raises tariffs

Juncker Goes To Washington, Hopes To "De-dramatize" EU-US Relations – ZH

How Europe Should Respond to Trump on Trade – BB
Don’t capitulate, don’t provoke — instead, strike a deal.

"No Weakness" On Tariffs Vows Trump Ahead Of Critical EU Trade Meeting – ZH

Juncker Should Hope Trump Doesn't See This Chart Before Meeting – BB

Germany Seeks Japan Alliance to Counter Trump's America First – BB
Nations should join forces to protect rules-based global order * German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas comments in speech in Tokyo

Trump, Juncker Announce Deal Pulling Back From U.S.-EU Trade War – BB
EU to expand imports of U.S. soybeans and natural gas * Trump says both sides will work toward ‘zero’ tariffs

Trump, EU leader pledge to cut trade barriers, hold off on further tariffs – Reuters

We Have A Deal: Trump And Juncker Agree To Avert A Trade War – ZH

The Art of The Deal Sends Stocks Soaring – ZH

  US-CHINA
Goodbye, China Deleveraging. Onward Belt and Road?
– BB
Asian allies can expect sweeter terms as Beijing’s focus switches to growth.

China pulls approval for Facebook's planned venture: NYT – BB


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT
May’s Brexit, emissions, social media tax

WSJ City – WSJ
Deutsche Bank Confirms Brighter Picture, Juncker Set to Face Trump and His Tweets

WSJ Economics – WSJ
White House Readies Aid for Farmers Hurt In Trade Battles

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Narrow Ranges Prevail

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Juncker’s Trump history — Theresa May takes over — No love for Bannon

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB
 
US Open – ZH
Global Rally Stalls, Dollar Slides As Attention Turns To Trade

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Euroalueen ostopäällikköindeksi laski hieman odotettua enemmän | Suomesta saatiin vahvoja työmarkkinalukuja | Turkin keskuspankki piti ohjauskoron yllättäen ennallaan, liira heikentyi selvästi

Jan Hurri: Outoa paheksua Trumpin tulleja, mutta kehua Suomen kikyä – TalSa
Kauppasota on talouden suuri riski, mutta siitä on turha syyttää vain Yhdysvaltoja. Trumpin tullit kärjistävät kauppasuhteita, mutta samanlaista kotiinpäin vetämistä olivat Saksan ja Suomenkin kikyt aiemmin, kirjoittaa erikoistoimittaja Jan Hurri.

Juhani Huopainen: Hurskastelua valuutta- ja kauppasodista – Sijoitustieto