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Monday, July 9

9th Jul - Brit government exodus

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Italy’s debts to European Central Bank near €500bnFT
Investors scrutinise eurozone imbalances as they await new government’s budget

Brexit Ministers Davis, Baker & Braverman Quit In Blow To Theresa May – ZH
How does a leadership challenge to a UK prime minister work? – Reuters

GBP: May’s Brexit Chequer-mateING
Brexit Secretary David Davis' resignation has sparked fears of a UK political 'crisis'. Such fears are not reflected in the price of sterling; what matters for financial markets is the type of Brexit delivered, not necessarily who delivers it

UK government in turmoil, what now for Brexit?ING
Having agreed a plan with her government, Theresa May has been rocked by the resignation of Brexit Secretary David Davis and now her Foreign Secretary, Boris Johnson. We take a look at what this means and what might happen next in the Brexit process

May vows to stay put after Johnson quits FT
Foreign secretary follows Davis out of cabinet over Brexit plan

After Years of Easing, Meet Quantitative Tightening: QuickTakeBB

What an Ambitious NATO Summit Could Achieve BB
Sadly, it’s unlikely to happen. But it’s a useful thought experiment.

El-Erian: A “Reagan Moment” for International Trade?Project Syndicate
In the 1980s, US President Ronald Reagan initiated a military spending race with the Soviet Union that ended up altering the global balance of power in ways that affected many countries worldwide. Could Donald Trump's tariff race with China lead to a similar outcome?

Global Outlook: Trump’s Trade GambleING
Uncertainty from President Trump's economic pronouncements could be more dangerous for the global economy than the direct impact on trade

Eurozone: The ECB takes it slowlyING
After a strong 2017, political instability and trade tensions within the eurozone are pointing towards more moderate growth rates for 2018

FX: Evaluating the scenariosING
Japan's activity indicators have slipped from 'good' to 'mediocre', but its unclear if this downtrend will continue

FX: Evaluating the scenariosING
This July could prove to be a testing month for FX markets, given the rise in trade tensions

Rates:  Just 30bp, seriously?ING
This July, rates remain under wraps due to dollar strength, geopolitics and a resistance by central banks to hike rates

China: The retaliation cycleING
A tit-for-tat trade war will hurt China's economic growth in the second quarter and will put pressure on the yuan

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT
Mr Brexit quits, novichok death, office jerks

UK Brexit Minister Resigns, NATO Leaders Brace for Tense Summit

WSJ EconomicsWSJ
As Tariffs Bite, Who Are the Winners and Losers?

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Possibility of a Soft Brexit Excites Sterling (too Early?)

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Seehofer in trouble — Brexit resignations — Orbán’s dirty campaign

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Global Stocks Jump As Trade Fears Set Aside; China Soars, Dollar Slides

Frontrunning ZH

Brexit-ministeri David Davis erosi virastaan erimielisyyksien johdosta | USA:sta, Ruotsista ja Norjasta saadaan inflaatiolukuja tällä viikolla | Keskiviikosta torstaihin järjestettävä NATO-kokous huomion keskipisteenä