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Friday, August 24

24th Aug - No surprises from Powell


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EUROPE
Euro area PMIs: still little good news below the surface – Pictet
We see little evidence of a rebound in business taking shape, reinforcing our revised 2018 GDP growth forecast.

WTO Warns U.K. About Global Impact of No-Deal Brexit – BB
Azevedo says tariffs ‘unlikely’ to be agreed with all members * Nations likely to seek new trade concessions from the U.K.

Italy's Populists Turn to Trump and China – BB
Trump has offered to buy Italian debt, Corriere reported * Italy’s finance minister will go to China to attract investors


UNITED STATES
The Evidence Is Tipping Toward Impeachment – BB
There will come a point when Trump’s unwillingness to uphold the Constitution is so undeniable that Congress would be remiss to not remove him. We’re getting there.

  FEDERAL RESERVE
Here Comes Powell But Draghi And Kuroda Strangely Absent From Jackson Hole – ZH

Powell speaks on a changing economy – ING
So what has changed about the economy? What will Powell talk about? For me, the biggest changes in the economy concern the consumption and production of virtual goods, and the flattening of the Philipps curve. Both suggest that central bank policy needs to adapt. But has it? 

Powell’s Homage to Greenspan Hints at a Fed Flashback – BB
At Jackson Hole, the chairman goes retro by quoting a sage who went out of style with the last financial crisis.

Fed chief Powell defends policy of gradual rate hikes – Reuters

Fed Chairman Powell Says Gradual Hikes Likely Needed If Economy Stays Healthy – BB
Sees good reason to expect ‘strong performance’ to continue * Powell delivers first speech at Jackson Hole as Fed chairman


OTHER
Editorial: South Africa’s Risky Populist Turn – BB
Land seizures are more likely to hurt the economy — and the poorest — than to remedy inequality.


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Greenback Marks Time Ahead of Powell

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Intrigue at the Berlaymont — Forgetting Franco — New Australian PM

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

US Open – ZH
Dollar Slides Ahead Of Powell Speech, Stocks Rise After China Market Intervention

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Fedin Jackson Holen konferenssi markkinoiden huomion keskipisteessä tänään | Euroalueen ostopäällikköindeksit hieman odotuksia heikommat, EKP uskoo edelleen inflaation kiihtymiseen | Dollari vahvistui Kiina-tullien myötä tappioputken jälkeen