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Thursday, July 25

25th Jul - ECB promises to act in September #4145


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EUROPE
   EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
Monetary policy decisions ECB

Introductory statement to the press conference ECB

ECB paves way for fresh stimulus package
FT
Draghi hints at new measures to boost ailing eurozone economy

Seven Points on the ECB and the Price ActionMarc Chandler

ECB: Preparing the big September bang - part II ING
During the press conference, Mario Draghi added some flavour to the announced language changes. Not everyone at the ECB seems to be ready for a big September package yet, but this should not stop the ECB from acting

The signalled September ECB easing to keep the euro under pressureING
Despite the euro’s 'buy the rumour sell the fact'-like rebound, we see downside to the euro over coming months. We expect the ECB to announce a packaged deal of easing in September (a 20bp cut and QE among other things). This should keep EUR/USD risks skewed to 1.10 rather than 1.15

ECB Watch – September stimulus packageABN AMRO

ECB sets scene for September stimulus packageABN AMRO

ECB Watch: Determined to act Nordea
The ECB sent clear signals that an easing package will be ahead in September. We expect another rate cut, more asset purchases and stronger forward guidance. Today’s message supports the pricing of rate cuts, and the EUR will face weakening pressure.

  GERMANY
German manufacturing reports industry ‘in freefall’FT
Key survey points to weakest sentiment in nine years

ifo Business Climate Index Falls in JulyIFO

Euro area: Recession warning from GermanyNordea
The German Ifo index was even gloomier than the PMI data released earlier, and at face value, already points to a recession in the German economy. Now also the services sector is taking a beating.


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day AsiaBB

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Magic bean update — Age of BoJo — Why Vienna?

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Eco Day EuropeBB
Greenspan Backs Cut, Singapore Recession, Strong Dollar * Central Bankers are playing a dangerous game with asset prices * New York Fed has Black Swan hunter with a ‘flair for darkness’

Daily Market Comment Marc Chandler
ECB Takes Center Stage

Five Things to Start Your Day USBB

US Open RundownRANsquawk

US Open – ZH

Eco Day USBB
ECB Takes Center Stage, Fed Survey, U.S. Growth Outlook * ECB set to signal interest rate cut as euro-area economy slows * Fed to cut rates, stick to balance sheet runoff, survey says


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Euroalueen heinäkuun ostopäällikköindeksit vetivät maton alta elpymistoiveilta, teollisuus heikoin lenkki | Valtioiden velkakirjojen korot olivat laajalti laskussa euroalueella | EKP:n korkopäätös julkaistaan tänään