Google Analytics

Friday, July 8

8th Jul - US payrolls surge

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter

EUROPE
Juncker wants Schulz to stay as Parliament president – Politico
  
  IMF ON EUROPE
Euro Area Article IV – IMF
Euro Area At The Crossroads: No Time For Complacency – IMF
IMF Concludes Article IV Consultation on Euro Area Policies – IMF
Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues – IMF

  BREXIT
Disunited Kingdom Disinclined to Reverse Brexit – PIIE
Brexit’s Political Risks Overwhelm Economic Analysis – PIIE
Editorial: The Bank of England Makes a Capital Mistake – View / BB


UNITED STATES
  JOBS REPORT
June Jobs Report: Everything You Need to Know – WSJ
June Jobs Report – The Numbers – WSJ
The June Jobs Report in 15 Charts – WSJ
Jobs Report and Implications – Marc Chandler
Jobs growth rebounded but Fed still in 'wait and see' mode – Danske Bank

Employment Soars By 287K, Smashing Expectations, Highest Since October – ZH
Stocks Jump; Bonds, Bullion Dump As Rate-Hike Odds Rise On Payrolls – ZH
Yields Tumble, Curve Flattens As Hilsenrath Hints At September Hike – ZH
Employment Situation Report is a Monthly Statistics Lesson – Barry Ritholtz
+287,000 Jobs, 4.9% Unemployment Rate – Bill McBride

A Strong Report following a Weak Report – Bill McBride
Economists React to the June Jobs Report: ‘Christmas in July’ – WSJ
Strong comeback - jobs report review – Nordea


OTHER
Great Graphic: More Thoughts on Banks – Marc Chandler


REGULARS
Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Eye-Opener – Nordea
US oil stocks sink sentiment, can todays US jobs report reverse this? * Expect solid US payrolls * US and German yields largely unchanged lining up for US payrolls *NOK hit by high US oil stockpiles, watch out for Swedish household consumption

Morning Markets – TF
Friday is a bumper day for economic releases chief among them the eagerly awaited US nonfarm payrolls numbers. But though a feeling of cautious optimism prevails this is tinged with nervous memories of last month's very poor show.

Euro wrap-up – Daiwa

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
US Jobs Data, Little Policy Significance, but may Provide Distraction ahead of the Weekend,

Daily Press Summary – Open Europe
Osborne joins with investment banks to reiterate commitment to City of London despite Brexit *
Obama: Special relationship between US and UK will endure * Handelsblatt: Juncker is no longer the right man to lead the European Commission * Theresa May and Andrea Leadsom to face Tory members in run-off to determine who will take over as Prime Minister * Belgian PM: I won’t accept having to pay the bill for Brexit * UK Government to start preliminary talks over bilateral free trade deal with India * Brexit vote sees increased support for EU in Germany * Corbyn wants new relationship with EU that maintains economic ties but loosens state aid restrictions * Hammond suggests informal talks needed between UK and EU to guarantee rights of migrants on either side * EU Commission starts formal process to fine Spain and Portugal for excessive deficit * ECB minutes show concerns over negative spill-overs from Brexit * UK in talks about giving up rotating EU Presidency in 2017

Brussels Playbook – Politico
NATO summit — Poland’s powerholic — Gove gone

US Open – ZH
US Futures Rebound After Volatile Session, All Eyes On June Payrolls

Frontrunning – ZH

FX Update – TF
After a weak May jobs report the market is expecting some mean reversion in the data series meaning that we may need to see a very strong set of June numbers to shift Fed rate expectations and the US dollar.

From the Floor – TF
Deutsche Bank's gloom is worsening as its subordinated CDS hits an all-tiime high as the fallout from Brexit reverberates through the European banking sector.


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Japanin vaaleissa mitataan Aben(omicsin) kannatus * USA:n yksityisen sektorin työpaikkoja syntyi odotettua enemmän * Tänään julkaistavien USA:n työllisyyslukujen odotetaan olevan vahvat *​ Punta toipui maltillisesti pohjatasoltaan

Pankkiunioni on kylvänyt Euroopan seuraavan kriisin siemenet – Antti Ronkainen