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Tuesday, January 31

31st Jan - First selling panic since Trump's win

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Fiscal Politics in the Euro AreaIMF
Euro area fiscal stanceECB

Euro area updated forecastsNordea
Strong GDP growth but slow core inflation

EU Council Chief Says Trump a Threat to Europe’s Future – WSJ
Trump’s ‘Worrying’ Words an EU Risk, Tusk Says – BB
How Trump is Dividing the EU – Mish
Trump’s top trade adviser accuses Germany of currency exploitation – FT
Trump Trade Advisor: Germany Using "Grossly Undervalued" Euro – ZH

Le Pen’s Main Rival Hit by Fresh Scandal in French Election – BB
French EU exit would be tricky for a Le Pen presidency – Reuters

Theresa May will trigger Brexit on March 9 – Politico
View: Brace for a 60-Billion Euro Brexit Battle – BB

View: Alarms Are Sounding in European Bonds – BB
Inflation surprises on the upside - will core inflation follow? – Danske Bank
Euro area: Inflation and the ECB (part 1): the four criteria – Pictet
Markets pricing in too early ECB exit – ABN AMRO

Fed to stand pat now – March hike in play? – Nordea
The Fed looks likely to stand pat at tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. While a March rate hike remains in play, we continue to expect the next move in June.

Choose your own American protectionist adventure, part 2FT
Trump and the Dollar – Marc Chandler
Dollar Dumps After Trump Accuses Other Countries Of "Devaluation" – ZH
When will Trump accuse Denmark of being a ‘currency manipulator’? – Lars Christensen
Trump fiscal stimulus? Not so fast Nordea

BOJ keeps rates, target on hold, upgrades growth forecasts, USDJPY SlidesZH
BoJ: Wait and seeNordea

Martin Enlund: Global: whose reflation?Nordea
It’s not all about Trump. “Reflation” has been in vogue for a few months – helped by higher headline inflation. But the jury is still out on whether it’s a global story or a local/US story. The FX conclusions differ markedly; keep an eye on EA core.

4 smart beta predictions for 2017BlackRock
The revival of risk-seeking factors * Multi-factor strategies take center stage * Fixed income, finally * The portfolio trinity – active, passive and smart beta

Morning Report APACTF
World leaders and businesses come out against the new US president's ban on travel from several Muslim countries and the Dow slumps below the 20000 level.

Trump fires acting attorney-general, Deutsche Bank settles and charting refugees * US president faces growing protests against controversial travel ban from business leaders, demonstrators and even Barack Obama

Deutsche Hit by Fine, Shell Sells Assets, Global Firms ‘to Stay in Post-Brexit Britain’

Danske DailyDanske Bank

Trump jitters, JPY rising, Fed awaited * German inflation back on ECB target BoJ made no waves, as outlook cloudy Trump jitters offset by corporate bond issuance

Morning MarketsTF
The Bank of Japan held monetary policy steady and the government nudged up its forecast for GDP growth offering a ray of hope in generally gloomy markets. Global financial markets remain rattled by worries over the policies of the new US administration and the Nikkei fell while Chinese markets are shut for the week-long Lunar New Year celebrations.

From the Floor: 'Is Trump losing his grip?'TF
Donald Trump's stance on protectionism and immigration allied to a failure to elaborate on his fiscal plans has put the skids under markets and sent dollar weaker against all its major peers.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Markets Look for Solid Footing

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe

Brussels PlaybookPolitico

10 things you need to know before the opening bellBI

Futures Fall On Rising Trump Uncertainty; Europe Stocks Rise As Euro-Area Inflation Surges


Spekulaatio euroalueen inflaatiosta kiihtyy * Saksan tammikuun alustava inflaatio kiihtyi 1,9 prosenttiin * Euroalueelta hyviä BKT-lukuja * Osakemarkkinat laskussa