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Saturday, September 22

22nd Sep - Weekly Previews

Weekly Market Review ZH
Tariff-Tantrum, Walmart-Warning, & Dollar-Dump Spark Global Stock-Buying Panic (Except US Tech)

What Happened This Week in the World Economy and What It MeansBB
U.S., China trade fresh tariff plans, direct talks imperiled

Take Five: World markets themes for the week aheadReuters

Judging by the recent developments in financial markets, investors feel more upbeat. On the economic front (growth and the outlook for monetary policy) nothing has really changed. The euro has benefitted from the ‘risk-on’ environment despite a widening interest rate differential with the US.

Week in Focus – Ransquawk

Week Ahead: Borio is backNordea
Higher rates on the back of Chinese stimulus, a hawkish Fed & pension deadline * If Borio is back, then it’s bad news for asset prices/cyclicals * Riksbank suddenly out-hawking Norges Bank, or is it?

Weekly Focus: Italy countdownDanske Bank
US: Fed to hike to target range to 2.00-2.25%,  PCE core inflation to rise +0.1% m/m which leaves y/y unchanged at 2.0% * Trade wars: Still waiting an official response to US invitation to high-level talks * Euro area: inflation to slow further to 2.01% y/y * Italy: budget deficit, in line with EU regulations or not

Strategy: Trump’s trade crusade: good or bad for world economy?Danske Bank
The tit-for-tat trade dispute between the US and China escalated this week. However, the market reaction was positive, as the actions were not as bad as expected. Indeed, both countries pushed for lower trade barriers (with other countries). While it will be a long and difficult path, we think a deal will be reached eventually. This may actually leave the world economy better off than before the whole trade dispute started.

Global Week AheadScotiabank
US-China trade tensions may set an awkward backdrop for Wednesday’s FOMC decisions and
communication while a fairly heavy week for data releases brings summer to a close.

Weekly Market OutlookMoody’s
Higher Interest Rates Suppress Corporate Borrowing

Weekly Market CommentMarc Chandler
Greenback's Downside Correction is Over, or Nearly So
Weekly Macro CommentMarc Chandler

FX WeeklyNordea
We judge that a return of the twin deficit story seems consistent with most moves over the past week, though it’s too early to tell if that’s where we’re truly heading in these fishy markets. Our portfolio is at a cross-road, we add long NOK/SEK.

G10 FX week ahead: Rose-tinted glassesING
Having seen risky assets survive the latest escalation in the US-China trade war, investors have rushed to cut long USD/short EM positions. And we've seen some substantial rallies in commodities too. However, were it not for the adjustment of long dollar positioning, we doubt markets would be looking so rosy. We're cautious on risk in the week ahead