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Wednesday, November 21

21st Nov - Bounce from previous low



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EUROPE
Hans-Werner Sinn: Europe’s Military ForceProject Syndicate
After two years of US President Donald Trump treating European allies as if they were adversaries, France and Germany have finally committed to the creation of an EU-wide army under a central command. Far from signaling a break from the transatlantic order, the move promises to shore up existing alliances for the long term.

A look back: what Eurozone “risk sharing” actually meantFT

  ITALY
Brussels says Italy should face sanctions over budget – FT
EU Rejects Italy's Budget, Paves Way For Sanctions – ZH
EU Takes First Step Toward Fining Italy on Budget – BB


OTHER
The Stocks Rout Is Big, But Not Big Like The Beatles BB
The last two bear markets seem to have tainted our collective reference points, although it’s clear that the current downdraft has further to go.

The Stock Market Is Even Worse Than You Think It Is BB
The P/E ratio of the S&P 500, based on the next 12 months of earnings, is down 17 percent this year.

BofA Expects Stocks To Peak In 2018, Drop In 2019 – ZH

Anti-protectionism pledge missing from draft G20 statement FT
Communiqué being negotiated before summit uses softer language than previous years

  CHINA
America’s Secret Weapon Against China: DemocracyBB
Tyrannical states can move fast. Free states always win in the end.

Beijing to Judge Every Resident Based on Behavior by End of 2020BB
China capital plans ‘social credit’ system by end of 2020 * Citizens with poor scores will be ‘unable to move’ a step

Navarro ‘excluded from Xi Jinping-Donald Trump dinner’SCMP
Beijing and Washington are still in the process of finalising guest list for the high-stakes meeting in Buenos Aires, according to source * Outspoken China hawk Navarro is a key figure behind the trade war

  OECD OUTLOOK
OECD Economic Outlook – OECD
Global growth is slowing amid rising trade and financial risks – OECD
Trade war risks taking heavy toll on growth: OECD – FT


REGULARS
EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels BriefingFT
Italy’s excessive deficit is no worry for markets — yet. Borrowing costs have climbed, but ‘lo spread’ isn’t blowing up to crisis levels

Eco Day EuropeBB

FirstFT Daily Briefing FT

WSJ Daily EconomicsWSJ

Danske DailyDanske Bank
Oil plunge, stock plunge

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
A Semblance of Stability Returns

Brussels Playbook Politico
The grinch who stole Christmas — Good news for Greece — Oettinger on Italy

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Eco Day USBB

US OpenZH
Futures Jump, Dollar Slides After Report Fed May End Hikes As Early As Spring

US Open RundownRANsquawk

AamukatsausNordea
Katseet kiinnittyvät Italian budjettiprosessiin, Euroopan komissio antaa lausunnon budjettiesityksestä | Suomen työllisyyskehitys hidastumassa, Carney ilmaisi tukensa Mayn Brexit-sopimusluonnokselle | Öljyn hinta laski eilen lähes 7 prosentilla