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Wednesday, November 28

28th Nov - Fed turns neutral - only one hike seen in 2019

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After Angela: the race to succeed Merkel FT
The choice of a new leader will determine whether the Christian Democrats want to be a truly conservative party

How Estonia became centre of Danske money-laundering scandalFT
Head of country’s regulator does not pull any punches as he criticises Danish bank

Italian banks stock up on government bonds FT
Largest increase in BTP holdings since early days of sell-off reinforces ‘doom loop’ fears

Monetary developments won’t stop ECB from ending QE soonING
Broad money growth accelerated in October, while loan growth remained at cruising speed. Comfortable enough for the ECB to stop its net asset purchases in January. However, a slowdown in 2019 might put TLTROs back on the agenda

When central banks go green FT

Untaxing times for US corporatesPictet
US corporates are delivering strong profits and this robust profit picture is further enhanced by a sharp drop in the corporate tax burden.

Trump steps up Fed criticism ahead of Powell speech FT
Public attacks by US president have been joined by closed-door manoeuvring

Powell's ‘Just Below’ Comment Seen as Suggesting Fewer Hikes BB
Fed chief said in October rates were ‘long way’ from neutral * Treasuries, stocks rally as investors see less chance of hikes

SocGen: Powell Corrected "A Rookie Mistake" But Nothing Has Changed ZH

Powell’s Message Wasn’t Necessarily About Rates BB
But by emphasizing the long-term effects of Fed policy, he made the case for a pause in hikes.

Market Prices Just One 2019 Fed Hike After Powell RemarksBB

'Powell Put' Sparks Buying-Panic, Dovish Dollar Dump ZH

Front running Fed-Day’s Eve FT

Fed's Powell, in apparent dovish shift, says rates near neutralReuters

Why Dollar Bears Shouldn't Expect Much From A Powell 'Pause' SignalZH

Nomura Shows "The Moment Everything Broke" ZH
In the beginning of October, sliding risk assets, sharply tighter financial conditions, US inflation expectations via 10Y Breakevens collapsing, first cracks in long/short hedge fund performance, CTA trend index snapped, beta market neutral funds broke down and risk-parity stopped working as the correlation between stocks and bonds inverted.

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

Brussels Edition DailyBB

Brussels Briefing FT
Russia's seizure of Ukrainian ships is a geopolitical headache that comes as the EU is deep in the morass of Brexit

Eco Day Europe BB
Brexit Back Down, Trump-Xi Dinner, Italy's Budget * Credit Suisse is planning to make Madrid its post-Brexit hub * EU discussing sanctions on Russia, though no action likely yet

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

WSJ Daily EconomicsWSJ
U.S.-China Summit On Tap, Trump Threatens GM

Danske DailyDanske Bank
All eyes on Fed Chairman Powell's speech tonight

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Romanian brain drain — Bad loans, good numbers — Macron takes another hit

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB

Eco Day USBB
Mnuchin's Fed Question, Brexit Impact, Trade Fallout * Treasury Secretary said to ask about option that avoids hikes * U.K. GDP Would suffer 10.7% hit in worst case no-deal Brexit

US Futures Jump On Fresh Hopes For China Trade Deal, Dovish Powell Speech

US Open RundownRANsquawk

G20-kokoukseen on ladattu liian suuria odotuksia, julkaisimme analyysin tulevasta kokouksesta | Suomen kuluttajien luottamus nousi hieman, Italian ja USA:n puolestaan heikkenivät | Tänään tulossa jälleen luottamuslukuja Ruotsista ja Saksasta