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Friday, November 23

23rd Nov - Still no bounce


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EUROPE
Editorial: Europe’s First Small Step Toward Fiscal Reform – BB
The Macron-Merkel plan is timid — but it’s a start.

Eurozone PMI casts doubt on 4Q bounce back – ING
As the eurozone economy continues to show weakness in the fourth quarter, a quick bounce back in growth is unlikely and the recovery could be more spread out. This means that annual growth for 2018 is unlikely to get to 2%

Bank of Italy sounds the alarm over banks’ stability – FT
Rising yields threaten financial sector and will cost billions in interest payments

Italy and the EU: a debt-based excessive deficit procedure – Pictet
This week, the European Commission issued its opinion on Italy’s budget plans.

ECB minutes pre-signal downward revision in ECB’s staff projections – ABN AMRO


OTHER
Our 2019 guide to global central banks – ING
Fed: A steady grind * ECB: Growth and inflation doubts raise questions about first rate hike * BOE: Waiting on Brexit * PBOC: Expect RRR cuts every quarter to save private firms * BOJ: Only speculation * SNB: No hikes expected before 2020 * BOC: Hawkish stance opens door to two or more hikes in 2019 * RBOA: Still relaxed

US-China trade update: G20 meeting preview – Pictet
A new low point in trade tensions between the US and China was reached in September 2018 when the US placed an additional 10% duty on roughly USD200 billion of Chinese imports

China Leading Indicators – Danske Bank
It gets worse before it gets better

China Weekly Letter – Danske Bank
All eyes on the Xi-Trump meeting, cautious optimism * APEC meeting underlines long-term US-China rivalry * Chinese economy gets worse before it gets better


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Brussels Edition Daily – BB

Brussels Briefing – FT

Eco Day Europe – BB
ECB Warns on Italy, Brexit Options, South Africa Hikes

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Happy (Brexit) weekend — Green is the new red — Circular economy legacy

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

Eco Day US – BB
Black Friday, Trade-War Profiteering, Euro-Area Blow

US Open – ZH
US Equity Futures Slide After Euro PMIs Stumble; China, Crude Plunge

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Tänään julkaistaan euroalueen uudet ostopäällikköindeksit | Iso-Britannia ja EU pääsivät alustavaan sopimukseen Brexitin jälkeisistä suhteistaan | Punta vahvistui eilen, tänään Japanin markkinat ovat suljettuna