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Wednesday, January 16

16th Jan - UK parliament said no to Brexit deal




EUROPE
EU Expresses Horror at Brexit Vote, Refuses to Reopen Deal – BB
European Commission’s Juncker tells May: ‘Time is almost up’ * Macron: EU won’t help fix U.K.’s ‘internal political problem’

Brexit Monitor: The waiting game – Danske Bank
As widely expected, PM Theresa May's Brexit deal failed in the House of Commons. The defeat, however, was bigger than expected, 432 against versus 202 in favour.

What’s next for Brexit and the pound as UK lawmakers reject deal – ING
Theresa May’s government faces a battle for survival on Wednesday, although all signs point a no-confidence vote failing to gain enough support amongst MPs. That would switch focus back to the deal, and whether Theresa May will be forced to seek cross-party support for a new direction. One way or another, the pound faces a bumpy ride over coming weeks

Theresa May hints at delay to UK’s exit from Europe – FT
British prime minister fails to rule out extension to Article 50 divorce process

Outlook for euro periphery bonds – Pictet
Economic fundamentals should come back into focus, but politics still a factor.


UNITED STATES
US government shutdown: Feeling the strains – ING
The longest ever government shutdown is causing financial strain for the 800,000 workers directly affected and is creating headwinds for the broader US economy. This only heightens the likelihood of a 1Q pause from the Federal Reserve


OTHER
Monthly Yield Outlook: Even more blurred outlook for global yields – Danske Bank
We hold to the view that 10Y bund and Treasury yields will slowly climb higher during 2019, but mainly on a six- to 12-month horizon as central bank expectations in the market change.

Why Trump’s America is rethinking engagement with China – FT
The more aggressive US approach is part of a strategic shift that goes well beyond the trade war


REGULARS
EU Open Rundown – RANsquawk

FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT

Brussels Briefing – FT
The meaning of the vote: Theresa May needs to convince EU leaders that she has authority and a realistic proposal to win a majority

Brussels Edition – BB

Brussels Playbook – Politico
Theresa May makes history — Day 1 of a no-deal Brexit — America’s Democrats to EU rescue

Danske Daily – Danske Bank
No Brexit clarity but dovish central banks support markets

Eco Day Europe – BB
May's Defeat Means BOE Delay, Weidmann's New Contract

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Markets are Eerily Calm

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

US Open Rundown – RANsquawk

US Open – ZH
Global Stocks Rise, Pound Mixed Ahead Of May Confidence Vote After Record Liquidity Injection By China

Eco Day US – BB
U.S. Home Sales, Fed Beige Book, Brexit Fallout for BOE * Germany looks to homegrown support to navigate turbulent times *Turkey extends rate pause as currency laggard stalks economy
  

FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
Mayn Brexit-sopimus hylättiin murskalukemin Iso-Britannian parlamentissa | Saksan BKT:n kasvuvauhti hiipui vuositasolla | Tänään saadaan Britannian inflaatioluvut joulukuulta, lisäksi Turkin keskuspankki kokoustaa