Source: Zero Hedge |
EURUSD acting weak, Spanish bond yields ticking up as the moods on the ECB's plan are now on the negative side. But SPX holding up still. Kind of dull, but luckily I've found some quality articles - and tons of sell-side research notes. I didn't remember how quiet the markets can get in August. Good that September is already looking like a month to remember.
Previously
on MoreLiver’s:
US Close: Banging Lines (my comments)
News – Between
The Hedges
Markets – Between
The Hedges
Recal – Global
Macro Trading
The Closer
– alphaville / FT
Market
Commentary – A
View From My Screens
Tyler’s European Summary – ZH
Monti's
Bluffing Unleashes Bull Market In Crude
Tyler’s US Summary – ZH
Volumeless
Equities Limp Along As Risky Debt Rolls Over For Fourth Day
Debt
crisis: live – The
Telegraph
The Euro
Crisis Blog – WSJ
FX Options
Analytics – Saxo
Bank
European
10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices
EUROPE
September Will be a Doozy Again this Year – Economist
Meg
For the second September in a row, developments
in the EZ have the potential to be highly dramatic, and this time not just in
the weaker, peripheral countries.
Instead, the official sector, which holds about
three quarters of Greek debt, needs to participate in some fashion IF Greece's debt profile is
going to change substantially. And the IMF appears to be reaching the point
that Greece's debt profile must change substantially IF it is to continue to
participate in assistance programs.
Fitch: As a percentage of funded banking assets,
encumbrance is highest in parts of the peripheral eurozone, Scandinavia and specialist property lenders.
Across a sample of major European banks, Fitch estimates median encumbrance to
be around 28% of funded banking assets.
Indicators of market segmentation – ECB (pdf)
media request following the ECB press
conference on 2 August 2012 (4 pages)
Market has Now Fully Priced In Another 1
Trillion LTRO – ZH
it appears inflation expectations have now
priced in another EUR1 trillion worth of LTRO.
OTHER
The Pace Of US Downward Revisions Is Picking Up – ZH
and both
earnings and revenue growths are the lowest since the recession started.
three developments to note: political
compromise over the retail sales tax hike, outcome of BOJ meeting and economic
developments.
Japanese government bonds are becoming an
increasing part of the private sector net worth. In fact the bulk of high
private sector savings, which Japan is known for, now
goes to finance the fiscal deficit. Government bonds are crowding out net
private sector investments
Herding Cats and Credit Market “Weakness” – TF
Market Advisors
Spain is playing time, ECB’s plan shortens
Spain’s debt maturity, still bullish but looking to
buy puts
SELL-SIDE
RESEARCH
on message
board (registration required)
European
Equity – Bank
of America (pdf)
European
Equity – Credit
Suisse (pdf)
Equity – Deutsche
Bank (pdf)
Dividend – Deutsche
Bank (pdf)
Equity
Allocation – UBS
(pdf)
European
Equity Explorer – Barclays
(pdf)
Equity
Strategy – Nomura
(pdf)
Economics –
Exane
(pdf)
Global Risk Radar
– UBS
(pdf)
Global
Rates & FX – Bank
of America (pdf)
FX Weekly –
Credit
Suisse
Fixed
Income Daily – Deutsche
Bank (pdf)
FX Strategy
– Deutsche
Bank (pdf)
FX
Perspective – UBS
(pdf)