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Tuesday, May 13

13th May - New SPX ATH, EUR settling down



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EUROPE
A Fragile Rebound for EU Image on Eve of European Parliament Elections – PEW
EU Favorability Rises, but Majorities Say Their Voice Is Not Heard in Brussels

European Companies Write Off Half A Trillion Dollars Due To "Culture Of Late Payment" – ZH

The BOE’s Difficulties Start With the First Hike – WSJ
No Regular Hump Day for the UK Tomorrow – Marc to Market

Overvalued Greek equities are sharply down and will fall further – TradingFloor

Once Europe's lead preacher of budget prudence, Finland loses righteousness – Reuters

German Investor Confidence Drops for Fifth Straight Month – BB

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
ECB delays will prolong the price stability pain – FT

Groundhog day (ECB) – Antonio Fatas
It is hard to know how much the wait-and-see attitude of the ECB is a sign of a compromise to acknowledge the threat of low inflation even if there is no consensus on how to deal with it or a truly cautious approach to dealing with challenging economic times.

The ECB plans to ease, but how? – Money and Banking
If the ECB is serious about raising inflation expectations and returning inflation to its target over the medium term, a weaker euro appears to be the simplest, most effective route (as one of us previously hinted), but the value of the euro itself is neither a current nor a likely future objective of ECB policy.

Currency 'Cold War': Euro Until The Next ECB Meeting - BofA Merrill – eFXnews
The ECB has now officially joined the increasing list of central banks directly or indirectly targeting their exchange rate since the global financial crisis

Strong euro may be a monster Draghi can’t tame – MacroScope / Reuters

Eurozone deflation: A survey of UK-based macroeconomists – voxeu.org
Although Eurozone inflation has persistently surprised on the downside and has been below 1% since October 2013, the UK macroeconomics profession is not convinced that this heralds a deflation. In the second monthly survey by the Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM), summarised in this column, a small majority of respondents do not think there is a significant risk of Eurozone deflation in the next two years. But nearly two thirds of respondents to the CFM survey think that sustained Eurozone deflation would pose a significant threat to the UK recovery.

Bundesbank ready to support ECB action if it is needed: Sources – Reuters
Bundesbank Puts the Reality of ECB Stimulus ‘Into Words’ – WSJ
Bundesbank Support for ECB Stimulus Not to Be Automatic – BB

UNITED STATES
Retail Sales increased 0.1% in April – Calculated Risk
April Advance Retail Sales: A Major Disappointment – dshort
Retail Sales Miss Expectations – Bespoke

ASIA
China Slowdown Deepens – BB
Economists React: China Slows Down – WSJ
China’s economic slowdown deepened with unexpected decelerations in industrial-output and investment growth and a decline in home sales, testing policy makers’ reluctance to step up monetary stimulus

OTHER
Grand Central – WSJ
Housing Unlikely To Alter BOE’s Course * Bundesbank Open to Significant ECB Stimulus if Inflation Forecasts Lowered * Sen. Paul Threatens to Delay Confirmation Votes for Three Fed Nominees * Could RBI Governor Rajan Be Ousted By a New Government? * Lew Urges China to Move to Market-Determined Exchange Rate

Macro Horizons – WSJ
Data Show How Much Slack Still Exists in Global Economy

Dollar Advances – Marc to Market

FINNISH
Yhteisvaluuttaliittovaltio – Antero Vartia / US

Helsinki-Tallinna - epäsymmetrinen shokki, miten käy Helsingin? – Kimmo Saarikko / US

Taloudessa on vaihtoehtoja – Pohjolan Sanomat
Devalvaatiohan on aina korjannut vientiteollisuuden kilpailukyvyn ja aina kansalaisten kustannuksella.

Cambridge-tutkija Sakari Puisto: Euro ei jousta, joten työttömyyden on joustettava – Sakari Puisto / PS

Euron synnyttäminen oli ”harkittu rikos” – PS

Kiinan maltillinen hidastuminen jatkunut – Roger Wessman