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Friday, August 12

12th Aug - Disappointing macro data

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Barry Eichengreen: Airing the IMF’s Dirty Laundry – Project Syndicate

Negative Rates for the People Arrive as German Bank Gives In – BB

Europe Needs a Two-Tier Solution to Move Past Brexit – BB
What Is the Early Impact of Brexit? – WSJ
Pound Reclaims World’s-Worst Crown as BOE Stimulus Kicks In – BB
U.K. Construction Shrinks as Brexit Delays Investment Projects – BB

Greek Economy Grew in Second Quarter Despite Dragging Review – BB
Italian Economy Unexpectedly Stagnates in Threat to Renzi – BB
Euro-Area Slowdown Puts Onus on Germany as Brexit Risks Gather – BB
Modest euro zone economic growth masks diverging performance around bloc – Reuters

Retail Sales unchanged in July – Bill McBride
U.S. Retail Sales Stall as Auto Dealers’ Gain Is Others’ Pain – BB
July Retail Sales Disappoint – dshort
Consumer Sentiment in U.S. Increases by Less Than Forecast – BB
Preliminary August Consumer Sentiment at 90.4 – Bill McBride
Consumer Sentiment: August Flash Up from July Final – dshort
U.S. business inventories rise marginally as sales jump – Reuters
U.S. producer prices fall on services, energy costs – Reuters
July Producer Price Index Plummets – dshort
U.S. third-quarter GDP seen slowing to 2.43 percent: N.Y. Fed – Reuters

Weak retail sales, inflation data dim prospect of Fed rate hike – Reuters
Bonds Rise, Dollar Falls as Retail Data Cast Doubt on Rate Hike – BB
Dollar Falls to 7-Week Low as Economic Reports May Constrain Fed – BB

Should the true costs of insuring deposits of up to £75,000 be made clearer? – BoE

Chinese data suggest a soft start to H2 – Pictet

Press Release – IMF
Article IV Staff Report – IMF
Selected Issues – IMF
Video: How Does China's Outlook Stack Up? – IMF

Danske DailyDanske Bank

US equities at highs, yields higher, watch US retail sales * GBP/USD goes below 1.30 again, SEK and NOK strengthened by inflation

Morning MarketsTF
Where Wall Street leads Asia follows. At least that was the case at the start of trading in Asia on Friday with gains on several bourses in the wake of a record performances for US equity indexes on Thursday.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa
Bunds were little changed as euro area GDP growth was unrevised at 0.3%Q/Q, while there was a modest upward surprise to German Q2 GDP * Gilts made gains as UK construction output fell more than expected

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Summer Markets Grind into the Weekend

Daily ShotTF
The problems are starting to pile up in emerging markets. Egypt needs a bailout Venezuelans are finding it difficult to import produce and the Nigerian authorities have delayed the release of several key indicators – possibly because they don't like what they see.

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Johnson seeks to ‘normalise’ British relations with Russia * Tusk to meet with all EU leaders ahead of Bratislava Brexit summit * Economists see UK economy contracting in coming quarters * Labour leadership hopefuls trade barbs over EU referendum * Italy’s GDP stays flat in Q2, highlighting scale of challenge facing Renzi * Bulgaria extends border fence over fears that EU-Turkey refugee deal could break down * Polish Government and Constitutional Tribunal at loggerheads again over new law * German think tank suggests Dublin no match for Frankfurt in attracting London business post Brexit

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Ukraine on the boil — Trump slump — French intrigue

Futures Rise, Global Stocks Flat After Ugly Chinese Economic Data


From the FloorTF
The half-hearted efforts this past week to send oil higher through verbal interventionclearly did not pass muster and the Saudi oil minister has leapt in to add his significant weight to force a higher oil price.

OPECiin kohdistuu turhia toiveita * Ruotsin inflaatio vaimeni odotuksia vähemmän * USA:n tänään julkaistava vähittäismyynti jatkaa kasvua * Euroalueen toisen neljänneksen BKT-luvut tarkentuvat

Palkkaerot ja työllisyysaste Suomessa - mitä paljastaa kansainvälinen vertailu?VATT

Brexit-tulos yllätti median, mutta irtautumiseen erinomaiset syytSuomen Uutiset