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Wednesday, August 31

31st Aug - EU's Apple/Ireland ruling

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Spain's Political Deadlock Likely Leads to Third ElectionMarc Chandler

Angela Merkel: Germany ignored refugee crisis for too longPolitico

U.K. Cabinet Sees No Need for Parliament Vote on Brexit Trigger BB
May and her ministers agree to ‘push ahead to Article 50’ * Cabinet meeting emphasizes immigration controls over trade
ECB at risk of being overburdened: VilleroyReuters
The European Central Bank must not be overburdened and others, particularly governments, need to start playing their part to make growth sustainable, French central bank chief Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Wednesday.

Euro area inflation frustratingly slow to rise – Pictet
Euro-area inflation – a small downside surprise, also in the core rate – Nordea
IMF, FSB and BIS publish Elements of Effective Macroprudential Policies IMF
IMF, FSB and BIS release a new publication on Elements of Effective Macroprudential Policies. The document, which responds to a G20 request, takes stock of the international experience since the financial crisis in developing and implementing macroprudential policies and will be presented to the G20 Leaders’ Summit in Hangzhou.

Central banks scrambling to contain global slowdownTF
September is one of the busiest central bank months in recent history with no less than 30 major meetings scheduled. In nearly all of them the main thrust will be an attempt to deal with low growth low inflation and a near-exhausted policy toolbox.

U.S. to urge G20 to boost economies, heed citizen angerReuters
U.S. President Barack Obama will urge leaders of the world's major economies to use fiscal policy and other tools to boost growth while paying more attention to angry citizens who feel left behind, Treasury Secretary Jack Lew said on Wednesday.

Danske DailyDanske Bank

UK consumers shrug off Brexit vote; USD consolidates rally; oil prices down * All eyes on Chinese PMIs tomorrow morning * Slowing German inflation sends German yield lower * USD keeps strengthening despite weaker US equities and falling oil

Morning MarketsTF
Employment is today's focus with data releases out from Germany and the US. The latter is of particular importance as today's ADP data are viewed as a precursor to Friday's all-important nonfarm payrolls release which could have a major impact on the current USD rally.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Dollar Bides Times, Month-End at Hand, Jobs Data Ahead

Daily Market Comment Macro Man
Bringing back the Alternative Universe Newswire

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe
Downing Street reiterates view that no early election is needed as Cabinet meets to discuss Brexit * UK consumer confidence rebounds as house price growth edges up * Irish government and Apple expected to appeal EU Commission ruling on €13bn in unfair state aid * Rajoy set to fail in bid to be voted in for second term as Spanish PM * France and UK renew commitment to Calais border deal * US trade chief rejects claims EU-US deal is dead * Number of EU nationals working in UK could be undercounted by up to 900,000 * Macron resigns but holds fire on French presidency bid * New YouGov poll: Corbyn on course to win stronger mandate in Labour leadership contest * EU-Turkey deal to blame for increase in migrants, says Egypt

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
Tax pear-shaped for Apple — Germany’s far-right tipping point

US Open ZH
Futures Flat, Global Stocks Rise As Treasury Yields See Biggest Monthly Jump In Over A Year


FX Update TF
The USD continues to grind higher with the most pronounced upside seen in USDJPY and USDCHF despite sideways developments in asset and bond markets. This might point to positioning unwinding as further energy for these moves likely requires a catalyst – like stronger-than-expected US data later this week.

From the FloorTF
Dollar strength may be on the back of short covering but if the data really moves in its direction then the tailwind could be big.

Viimeinenkin puolustuslinja rakoilee * USA:n kuluttajien luottamus nousi vastoin odotuksia * Britannian kuluttajien luottamus teki korjausliikkeen * Tänään julkaistaan euroalueen elokuun inflaatio

Jan von Gerich: Blogi: Viimeinenkin puolustuslinja rakoileeNordea
Keskuspankit ovat olleet lähes ainoa tukipilari talouksille ja rahoitusmarkkinoille, kun korkeat velkatasot ja poliittisen päätöksentekokyvyn puute rajoittavat talouskasvua edistävää finanssi- ja rakennepolitiikkaa. Riippuvuus keskuspankkien tukitoimille on kasvanut jo huolestuttaviin mittaluokkiin. Edessä olevat vieroitusoireet tulevat väistämättä olemaan huomattavat.

Jan Hurri: Nobelisti listasi 7 välttämätöntä korjausta euron pelastamiseksiTalSa
Eurokriisi jatkuu niin kauan kuin kriisin syitä ei korjata. Talousnobelisti Joseph Stiglitz väittää, että kriisi on euron syytä. Hän patistaa euromaita valintaan: euro on joko korjattava tai purettava tai se hajoaa.