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Wednesday, December 14

14th Dec - Waiting for the Fed

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EU ministers reject Austria’s call to freeze Turkey membership talks – Politico

German 2Y Yields Hit All-Time Lows on Record Collateral Shortage – ZH
Sizing up the changes in ECB’s monetary policy – Pictet

Trump’s Threat Damps Companies’ Plans to Move U.S. Jobs Abroad – BB
How Donald Trump’s New Top Economic Adviser Views the World – WSJ
Rex Tillerson, America’s next top diplomat – Politico
Trump presidency: Rick Perry picked as US energy secretary – BBC
Trump election: The people around the president-elect – BBC

The Fed Nailed 2016, If You Ignore Their Rate Outlook – BB
Fed set to hike rates, policy outlook now hinges on Trump presidency – Reuters
Countdown to first Fed hike in a year under way, but focus shifting to 2017 – Reuters
What Wall Street Is Paying Attention To In Today's Fed Statement – ZH
The Set Up In Bonds As The FOMC Considers A Second Rate Increase – Fat Pitch

Global: You've Come a Long WayNordea
Dots or not, markets have come a long way in a short time. The risks for negative data surprises is also on the rise, at a time when markets may have become quite sensitive to just that.

Markets in 2017: Elements of Surprise Nordea
A sizable fiscal boost from Mr Trump coinciding with a Fed too timid to tighten policy would reinvigorate inflation fears, lead to skyrocketing bond yields and deliver a hit to the USD. Even 10-year yields above 5% are conceivable. Watch your step!

BIS quarterly says a risk of paradigm shiftMarc Chandler

Rising Trade TensionsMarc Chandler

Danske DailyDanske Bank

All eyes on the Fed policy decision * Euro area yields lower * Tankan pushes JPY lower

Morning MarketsTF
The outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting this evening dominates the agenda. A 0.25% rise in the base interest rate is a certainty but what is less clear is what the president-elect Donald Trump will have to say via his now notorious Twitter feed.

Euro wrap-upDaiwa

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Markets Quietly Edge into FOMC Meeting

Daily Market CommentMacro Man
The key for the Fed today is not what they do, but how they do it.  

Daily Press SummaryOpen Europe

Brussels PlaybookPolitico

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your DayBB
Rate decision * Bond outlook * Brexit, just not yet * Markets slip * Trump’s transition

US Open ZH
Stocks And Crude Slip, Bonds Rise Ahead Of Fed's Rate Hike Announcement


FX UpdateTF
Fed chief Janet Yellen and company face a tough task in communicating with the market tonight as bond yields have exploded higher and equities have done the same. But is this market really focused on the fully priced Fed hike tonight or on longer-term prospects for the market in 2017?

Fed nostaa, mitä sanoo Trump? * USA:n vähittäismyynnin kasvun odotetaan hidastuneen marraskuussa * Euroalueen teollisuustuotanto on käynnistynyt heikosti viimeisellä neljänneksellä * Japanin keskuspankki lisäsi velkakirjojen ostoa korkojen laskemiseksi