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Saturday, January 27

26th Jan - US GDP weakish, ECB still debated






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EUROPE
Giugliano: Europe Isn't Quite as United As It Claims – BB
There is refreshing agreement on some issues, but there are plenty of red lines too.

The Hurdles That Remain to Merkel's Fourth Term – BB

The rise and rise of Viktor Orban – FT
The man who has turned Hungary into a semi-authoritarian regime was once a democratic activist. What happened?

Europe’s biggest test will come in Poland – FT
The country has become a proving ground for the strength of populism across the west

  EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK
El-Erian: Draghi Acknowledges Twin Policy Challenges – BB
The ECB needs to balance Europe's strong growth against continued stimulus.

How the ECB Moved the Euro, and What Happens Next – WSJ

Results of the Q1 2018 ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters – ECB

Monetary developments in the euro area: December 2017 –
ECB

The horse is drinking, albeit reluctantly –
ING
Slow loan growth, slowing money growth - ECB should start reducing monetary stimulus in the short run

EUR: Not much the ECB can do –
ING
It has been hard for President Draghi to talk down the EUR when its strength is driven by a solid domestic economy and the soft USD. Even at 1.25, EUR/USD is not out of sync with the short-term fundamentals. We target EUR/USD 1.30 this year. CEE FX remains in the sweet-spot.

ECB: Oh Lord, don’t let me be misunderstood? –
ING
Without saying anything new, ECB president Draghi moves markets. But probably not in the intended direction

Thoughts post the ECB meeting –
Danske Bank

Draghi Clears Path for Euro-Area Economy as Momentum Builds – BB
ECB president adds to guidance with interest-rate prediction * Says euro strength partly justified by booming growth

Inflation expectations - the beginning of the ‘re-anchoring – Pictet
 

UNITED STATES
Fed preview: Yellen’s last meeting – Nordea
The FOMC meeting 30-31 January may not offer much new information. No new projections will be released. No press conference will be held. It will still be important because it is Chair Yellen’s last meeting and because of the annual voting rotation.

5 Things to Watch in Fourth-Quarter U.S. Growth –
WSJ
Q4 GDP Unexpectedly Misses, Rising Only 2.6% Dragged By Soaring Trade Deficit – ZH
Fourth-Quarter U.S. GDP Growth – At A Glance – WSJ
U.S. GDP Grows Below-Forecast 2.6% on Trade, Inventory Drags – BB

U.S. Economy Doing Just Fine But 3% Growth Will Remain Elusive – BB
Blame the Shutdown for Extent of Miss on Fourth-Quarter U.S. GDP – BB
Why the Savings Rate Is a Reason to Worry About 2018 U.S. Growth – BB


MARKETS / OTHER
  CRYPTOS
"Biggest Theft In Crypto History": Over $400MM Stolen From Japanese Crypto Exchange – ZH
The Other Way To Steal Crypto: Armed Robbers Storm Ontario-Based Bitcoin Firm – ZH
Cryptocurrencies Tumble After Popular Japanese Exchange Halts Withdrawals – ZH


REGULARS
FirstFT Daily Briefing – FT
Dollar’s volatility, Saudi shakedown, Google’s Indian conundrum

WSJ City – WSJ
Hope Mixes With Fear In Davos, Dollar Pulls Back After Rally

“Best of the web” daily charts – Lukas Daalder

Danske Daily – Danske Bank

Daily Market Comment – Marc Chandler
Trump-Inspired Dollar Short Squeeze Fades Quickly

Brussels Playbook – Politico
GroKo groundhog day — Currency wars — Bunga bunga is back

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day – BB

US Open – ZH
Futures A Sea Of Green Amid Relentless Dollar Disintegration

Frontrunning – ZH


FINNISH
Aamukatsaus – Nordea
EKP piti rahapolitiikkansa ennallaan ja on luottavainen inflaation kiihtymisestä | Euro vahvistui päävaluuttoja vastaan | Iso-Britanniasta ja USA:sta saadaan tänään BKT-luvut

Aamukatsaus – Danske Bank