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Friday, June 14

14th Jun - No EZ budget, Iran #4114


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EUROPE
European Plan to Tax Stock Trades Closer to Becoming Reality BB
EU ministers agree to go ahead with French-German proposal * Legislative text is targeted for May, according to official

The EU’s Secret Plan for a Catastrophic GrexitBB
A new book, The Last Bluff, reports on official preparations for the disaster that almost was.

Trump's Jab at Russia Gas Pipe Shows Fight for Market ShareBB
President said Germany should buy fuel from an another source * Nord Stream 2 pipeline would increase Russian flows to Germany

Cœuré on ECB reinvestments FT
Bund yields hit record lows today.

Finland: Slowing growth momentum Nordea
Recently released Q1 GDP data showed that Finnish growth is slowing faster than expected. Weak data adds some downside risks to our forecast, but above 1% growth is still in the cards.

Euro zone takes small step on integration, but not on key ideasReuters
EU finance ministers took small steps towards deeper euro zone economic integration on Friday, but they failed to agree on key aspects of a planned euro zone budget, in a blow to Macron, who championed the idea.

Country-specific euro zone risks remain 'very serious': IMFReuters
The euro zone remains at risk of being hit by debt-crisis-style country-specific shocks, the head of the International Monetary Fund's European department said on Friday.


UNITED STATES
US economy: the Fed tries to predict politics FT
Central bank worries that cutting rates would be seen as caving in to the White House

Rates: Flight to safety ING
One possibility is that the Fed under-delivers on market rate cut expectations. This could force long rates lower as the disappointment on the extent of the delivery of cuts prompts investors to switch out of risk assets into Treasuries, which still offer a positive yielding risk-free rate


OTHER
June economic update: Monetary policy to the rescueING
Financial markets are clamouring for policy stimulus as trade tensions and worries about global growth mount. Optimism that China and the US will settle their issues this month is fading fast, and it looks increasingly likely that central bankers will bow to both political and market pressure for rate cuts.

Climate Change Is All Most of Us Have Ever KnownBB
Average temperatures have been rising for more than 40 years, making global warming the only reality for billions of people. Politicians are finally starting to catch on, and policy may soon follow.


REGULARS
Five Things to Start Your Day AsiaBB
Blame it on Iran * Oil Jumps on Supply Fears * Hong Kong’s Possible Pause * Asian Futures Mixed * No More Day Drinking

Eco Day AsiaBB
Kudlow Warns Beijing, ‘Chinese Pig’ Furor, Two Fed Cuts * Hong Kong long-term economic role at stake amid demonstrations * In elephant safe haven, ivory poaching is climbing nonetheless

Five Things to Start Your Day EuropeBB
Unlikely Winners * Oil Drama * Kitchen-Sinking * Xi’s Rough Patch

EU Open RundownRANsquawk

FirstFT Daily BriefingFT

Brussels BriefingFT
The EU’s greenest of them all: From right to left, Brussels politicians are racing to prove their environmental mettle

Brussels EditionBB

Brussels PlaybookPolitico
City of fear — Establishment 1, Macron 0 — Unicorns aren’t free

Danske DailyDanske Bank
War hawks raise eyebrows

Eco Day EuropeBB
Finnish Push for ECB, Russian Rates, Kudlow Warning * Hong Kong’s long-term economic role at stake amid protests * Poland might lose its ‘Goldilocks’ tag amid rising prices

Daily Market CommentMarc Chandler
Waning Risk Appetite Going into the Weekend

Five Things to Start Your Day USBB
Risky business * Listen to your heart * So long, Sarah * Markets

US Open RundownRANsquawk

Eco Day USBB
Fed Easing Eyed, Russia Cuts Rates, China Slowdown * Bloomberg survey shows Fed seen on track for 2019 rate cut * China factories see slowest growth since 2002 amid trade war


FINNISH
AamukatsausNordea
Venäjän keskuspankki laskee tänään ohjauskorkoa, Ruotsista julkaistaan inflaatioluvut | Suomen tuotannon kasvu piristyi huhtikuussa | Omaninlahden iskut nostivat öljyn hintaa, USA syyttää Irania iskuista